蔡奇为首宣传等三大系统将大清洗。李书磊怎么处理?苗华被抓的真实日期。大萧条在中国蔓延
大家好,看来我的政治度还是有待提高,我觉得不对劲儿吗。李书磊在央视新闻联播闭口不提习近平是有原因的。新华社通稿里面,李书磊提了一句习近平。到了新闻联播的时候,李书磊自己给删掉了。可能现在暂时他还能指挥央视。包括王小洪为什么吓得这个熊样都是有原因的。今天稍微讲几句,包括宣传口,宣传系统在内,三大系统。在军队大清洗之后,也要展开大清洗。
第二条说一下,大萧条在中国蔓延,第三条说一下,借钱度日,2024年中共举债创纪录。第四条说一下,彭丽媛和李伯潭的丑事。广西桂林市委书记周家斌案背后剑指彭丽媛李伯潭。
中国经济在2024年进入寒冬,寒风凛冽,遍地萧瑟。从农民工乘绿皮火车回家,到外资加工厂纷纷搬迁,再到城市小商贩生意惨淡关门,甚至文化教育领域也未能幸免。如今的中国,正经历一场大萧条。
2024年底的消息显示,全国电视台倒闭2000家,平安夜全国电影票房仅3840万,不到去年的四分之一,反映出社会消费的降级。除了市场因素,传媒影视行业的不景气还受到政治管制的影响。一个行业的衰退不仅是其自身的问题,更是整个社会、经济和文化的问题,归根结底是政治的问题。最好的解药,就是习近平下台,共产党下台。
影视行业的不景气也影响了上游的教育,相关大学本科的影视制作、表演、广告、行销等专业的报读人数减少,学科被裁减,教师失业。同样,房地产市场的持续低迷也导致相关从业人员失业;金融市场的不景气影响了就业和消费。新投资枯竭,旧工厂搬迁,制造业产能过剩,外贸受挤压,使大量农民工和城市贫民走投无路,甚至文化教育领域也面临寒冬。这种大面积的衰退,是1978年以来未曾见过的。
表面上看,房地产和股市似乎是国民经济的重中之重,但它们只是经济的指标,而非命脉。真正的经济命脉是就业。没有充足的就业机会,百姓的生计就会出现问题,消费能力也会下降,谁还有钱去买股票和新房?市场持续衰退,经济低迷的根源难以找到,治标不治本,最终只会让整个经济体系更加糟糕。就业形势不断恶化,从上到下一片悲观情绪,而中共却把精力都放在楼市和股市上,放在维稳上,放在给体制内的人员加工资上。
中国当前的弊病在于体制。体制不改,道路不改,国策不改,中共目前的所谓救经济的措施,连为经济止血的效果都达不到。老百姓对前景愈发悲观,百业萧条引发连锁反应,失业大军不断扩充,继续下去就是死路一条。只有回到市场经济轨道上来,为市场松绑,抑制地方政府的贪婪,让百姓喘口气,给小企业生路,尽快改善就业形势,才是中共自救的唯一出路。
然而,这对中共来说几乎是不可能的任务。习近平推行国进民退,发扬枫桥经验,纵容地方政府倒查十年税、远洋捕捞,挤压私企生存空间,导致市场哀鸿遍野。如今,衰败蔓延到影视和教育行业,习近平最终可能会把中共的家业折腾干净,完成他的历史使命。既然习近平有如此雄心壮志,那就只能成全他了。只是,中国人要准备过苦日子了。无论谁来接手,收拾这个烂摊子都将是极大的挑战。
刚刚过去的2024年,中共地方政府通过发行债券,共借钱举债9.8万亿人民币,年增5%,创史上最高纪录。而这其中,高达近6万亿用于“借新还旧”。外界都知道中共政府债台高筑,但不知道有多高,中央财经大学副校长李建军去年9月底曾透露内幕,截至2024年6月30日,中国地方债余额,合法部分有42.23万亿元;城投债、隐形债57.16万亿元,这里面还没有统计隐形担保的数据,加起来已经接近百万亿的规模。再加上中央国债30万亿。
中共政府的整体负债率,与2023年的GDP的126万亿元相比,已经超过了100%,远高于国际警戒线60%。而据国际货币基金组织的数据,截至2023年底,中央和地方政府债务总额为147万亿元人民币,占GDP的117%。说白了,中国政府从财务上说已经资不抵债,破产了。
我们画一个图就一目了然了。中国政府的账目上来看,如果中国是一家公司,从财务学上来说,中国政府已破产了,已经资不抵债了。地方债和中央国债是中国中央政府以国家信用背书的,这个不能不还。还不上的话,只能印钱了。操作的空间不就是在城投债和隐形担保债务上面。这笔债务,就是一笔糊涂账。中央政府既不能都认领。都认领了,中央政府就破产了。也不能一点都不管。那样的地方政府就破产了。
解决的办法无非就是赖账,维稳,用所谓中国的办法解决问题,大闹大解决,小闹小解决。不闹不解决。闹得实在不行了,就是挤牙膏一样,少量的解决一下燃眉之急。就是耍流氓,赖账,用各种阴招来解决。有人说这样不是影响,中国政府的信用和形象吗?这个不用担心,中国政府本来就不要脸,本来就没有任何信用可言。
这名网友说,据说中宣部将有重大人事调整。如果李书磊被下。那迹象就按照你的剧本太明显了。这名网友消息很灵通啊,我真不知道。我没有任何消息,说对了都是巧合。我就是随便分析一下。大概就是按照这么一个路线图。我就是只是知道一个大概的方向。第一步,就是军队大清洗,清洗枪杆子。大局已定,就差最后收官了。就等苗华交代了。
根据苗华交代的情况,来决定最后这些人怎么处理。大概就是两个方向,是放一马,退休,还是直接住秦城。就是一定会给苗华一个说法。一定会给苗华走完法律程序。就是假装程序正义,目的就是为了判苗华死刑。处理了最后一波了,还要在提拔一波,毕竟中国军队30个上将裁员三分之一。空缺的职位很多。
我们看一下这名网友给我发的消息。去年军队和军工系统,抓了不少人。我把网友发给的消息,整理了一下,已经可以看出端倪了。时间线就是分成三波。很多人把军队系统和军工系统混为一谈,我觉得还是不准确。军队系统和军工系统虽然关系很密切。军队抓人,有可能牵扯到军工系统的人被抓,军工系统也可能牵连到军队的军官被抓。由于这种密切的关系,很容易混肴。但是还应该分开来看。这样就更清晰了。
我把军工系统拆开,只保留军队系统,看着就清晰了。军工系统和军队系统应该不是一回事。首先就是一锅端的时间,现在推测就是2024年6月19日,就算不是这个时间距离这个时间,相差也不会很多。这件事情肯定是发生在6月份,而不是7月份。航天系统部司令员郝卫中,
陆军政委 秦树桐
陆军副司令 黎火辉
海军政委 袁华智
军科委主任 刘国治。这些人都是被一锅端了。
后面这些人,应该是和苗华一起落马的,军改主任/海军政委 秦生祥
武警司令 王春宁
总政主任 苗华
陆军司令 李桥铭
陆军司令 韩卫国,这些人。
前面那一波很明显就是发生在2023年,当时还是文斗,或者说办文斗,文都不好使,只能武斗了。我们看2023年下半年这波交锋,矛盾的焦点就是李尚福。
当时胡锦涛抓了,战略支援部队司令 巨乾生
航天系统部司令员 尚宏
国防部长 李尚福
陆军装备部副部长 林柏
装发办公厅主任 夏清月,虽然巨乾生后来被习近平保出来了。当时抓这拨人的目的就是为了抓李尚福。大家想想为什么巨乾生被抓了之后,江泽民派系的毕毅成为信息支援部队司令,江泽民派系的李伟成为政委。这不都是打出来的,地盘都是抢出来的。
习近平抓了胡锦涛的,火箭军司令 李玉超
空军司令 丁来杭
火箭军司令 周亚宁,这些人就是为了阻止胡锦涛抓李尚福都是不好使。
大家看2024年上半年是一个空档期,好像只有4月份钟绍军被贬黜了。上半年为什么收手了,大家想想原因很明显。李克强死了。李克强2023年10月底死了。胡锦涛收手了,暂时不斗了。到了2024年6月19日刚好一锅端,7个月,半年。大家一看多明显。2024年上半年一个人也没抓,除了干了一下钟绍军,就是试探一下。
就是李克强死了之后,胡锦涛和曾庆红暂时收手了。不文斗了,准备上手了,武斗。准备半年。动手之前试探了一下,钟绍军,被钟绍军赶下去了。发现习近平也没有什么太剧烈的反抗。觉得有把握了。最后就上手一锅端了。就2024年上半年没有抓什么人啊。就是在家里做准备,调兵遣将准备动手。李克强死了就下定决定,殊死一搏,梭哈。20大都没敢梭哈。大战之前的寂静没有抓什么人。
被一锅端这些人,消息是8月9月出来的,其实都是6月19日被一锅端了。今天放个消息,明天放消息,逗你玩呢。玩过家家,今天抓一个,明天抓一个的。
后面这些武警司令 王春宁
总政主任 苗华
陆军司令 李桥铭
陆军司令 韩卫国
应该不是一锅端的,但是都是时间相距不是很远,抓走的,就是同案犯。
我们再看苗华也能说明同样的问题,首先就是10月29日这张照片,苗华坐在陈希和倪岳峰中间,而不是和刘振立张升民军委委员坐在一起,已经证明,当时苗华已经被停止了中央军委委员的职务。再往前倒就是10月7日和8日苗华出席庆祝新疆生产建设兵团成立70周年大会。当时苗华就安全吗?肯定不是。那么苗华出事,最早可以找到哪里呢。
那就是何宏军啊,何宏军是郭伯祥田修思贾廷安张又侠提拔的。何宏军为什么要赶在三中全会召开之前不到一个礼拜,匆匆忙忙的晋升上将呢。那就是说在三中全会上,已经决定了让苗华向何宏军交接工作。毕竟政治工作部主任的职位十分重要。让何宏军晋升上将的目的就是为了让何宏军有资历,去接管苗华的工作。三中全会之后,到苗华在新疆出现,中间不到3个月,两个半月。应该是没到10月29号,而是10月8日,苗华从新疆回北京,就被停止了军委委员的职务。
2024年10月24日,苗华老丈人叶汉林死亡。当时苗华已经被停止了军委委员,政治工作部主任的职务。马上就要抓了,怎么可能让他去奔丧呢。
还有一个证据就是今年省一把手的调整。大家注意这个日期,2024年6月28日。按照推测一锅端的日期是2024年6月19日。这个日期刚好在一锅端的时间之后,说明黄强,梁言顺,韩俊,李邑飞,这四个人都不是习近平的人。每个证据都是环环相扣的,最后,卡出来这个日期。好的,谢谢大家。
英文翻译
Cai Qi led the propaganda and other three systems to be purged. How to deal with Li Shulei? The real date of Miao Hua’s arrest. The Great Depression is spreading in China
Hello everyone, it seems that my political level still needs to be improved. Do I think something is wrong? There is a reason why Li Shulei did not mention Xi Jinping in the CCTV News Network. In the Xinhua News Agency’s draft, Li Shulei mentioned Xi Jinping. When it came to the news network, Li Shulei deleted it himself. Maybe he can still command CCTV for the time being. There are reasons why Wang Xiaohong was so scared. Today, I will say a few words, including the propaganda department, the propaganda system, and the three major systems. After the military purge, a purge will also be launched.
The second one is about the Great Depression spreading in China, and the third one is about borrowing money to get by. In 2024, the CCP’s debt will hit a record high. The fourth one is about the scandal of Peng Liyuan and Li Botan. The case of Zhou Jiabin, secretary of the Guilin Municipal Party Committee in Guangxi, is aimed at Peng Liyuan and Li Botan.
China’s economy entered a cold winter in 2024, with a biting cold wind and bleakness everywhere. From migrant workers taking green trains home, to foreign-funded processing plants relocating one after another, to small urban vendors closing down due to poor business, even the cultural and educational fields were not spared. Today’s China is experiencing a great depression.
News at the end of 2024 showed that 2,000 TV stations nationwide closed down, and the national movie box office on Christmas Eve was only 38.4 million, less than a quarter of last year, reflecting the downgrade of social consumption. In addition to market factors, the downturn in the media and film and television industries is also affected by political control. The decline of an industry is not only its own problem, but also a problem of the entire society, economy and culture. In the final analysis, it is a political problem. The best antidote is for Xi Jinping to step down and the Communist Party to step down.
The downturn in the film and television industry has also affected upstream education. The number of students enrolled in film and television production, performance, advertising, marketing and other majors in related undergraduate universities has decreased, subjects have been cut, and teachers have lost their jobs. Similarly, the continued downturn in the real estate market has also led to the unemployment of related practitioners; the downturn in the financial market has affected employment and consumption. New investment has dried up, old factories have been relocated, manufacturing has been overcapacity, and foreign trade has been squeezed, leaving a large number of migrant workers and urban poor with nowhere to go. Even the cultural and educational fields are facing a cold winter. This large-scale recession has not been seen since 1978.
On the surface, real estate and the stock market seem to be the top priorities of the national economy, but they are only indicators of the economy, not the lifeline. The real economic lifeline is employment. Without sufficient employment opportunities, people’s livelihoods will be in trouble, and their consumption capacity will also decline. Who will have money to buy stocks and new houses? The market continues to decline, and the root cause of the economic downturn is difficult to find. Treating the symptoms but not the root cause will only make the entire economic system worse in the end. The employment situation continues to deteriorate, and there is a pessimistic mood from top to bottom, but the CCP has focused its energy on the real estate market and the stock market, on maintaining stability, and on increasing the wages of people within the system.
China’s current ills lie in the system. If the system is not changed, the road is not changed, and the national policy is not changed, the CCP’s current so-called economic rescue measures will not even be able to stop the bleeding of the economy. Ordinary people are increasingly pessimistic about the future. The depression of all industries has triggered a chain reaction. The army of unemployed people is constantly expanding. If it continues, it will be a dead end. The only way for the CCP to save itself is to return to the track of market economy, loosen the market, curb the greed of local governments, let the people breathe, give small businesses a way out, and improve the employment situation as soon as possible.
However, this is almost an impossible task for the CCP. Xi Jinping has promoted the state-owned enterprises to advance and the private enterprises to retreat, carried forward the Fengqiao experience, and condoned local governments to investigate the tax and deep-sea fishing for ten years, squeezing the living space of private enterprises, causing the market to be full of grief. Now that the decline has spread to the film and television and education industries, Xi Jinping may eventually clean up the family business of the CCP and complete his historical mission. Since Xi Jinping has such ambitions, he can only fulfill his wish. However, the Chinese people have to prepare for a hard life. No matter who takes over, it will be a great challenge to clean up this mess.
In the past 2024, local governments of the CCP borrowed a total of 9.8 trillion yuan through the issuance of bonds, an increase of 5% year-on-year, setting a record high in history. Among them, nearly 6 trillion yuan is used to “borrow new to repay old debts”. The outside world knows that the Chinese Communist Party government is in debt, but no one knows how high it is. Li Jianjun, vice president of the Central University of Finance and Economics, revealed the inside story at the end of September last year. As of June 30, 2024, the legal part of China’s local debt balance is 42.23 trillion yuan; the city investment bonds and hidden debts are 57.16 trillion yuan, and the data on hidden guarantees have not been counted here. The total is close to one trillion yuan. Add to that the central government bonds of 30 trillion yuan.
The overall debt ratio of the Chinese Communist Party government has exceeded 100% compared with the GDP of 126 trillion yuan in 2023, far higher than the international warning line of 60%. According to data from the International Monetary Fund, as of the end of 2023, the total debt of the central and local governments is 147 trillion yuan, accounting for 117% of GDP. To put it bluntly, the Chinese government is financially insolvent and bankrupt.
We can see it at a glance by drawing a picture. Judging from the accounts of the Chinese government, if China is a company, from a financial point of view, the Chinese government has gone bankrupt and is insolvent. Local debts and central government bonds are backed by the national credit of the Chinese central government, and they must be repaid. If they cannot be repaid, they can only print money. The room for maneuver is not in the city investment bonds and hidden guaranteed debts. This debt is a muddled account. The central government cannot claim all of it. If it claims all of it, the central government will go bankrupt. It cannot ignore it at all. In that case, the local government will go bankrupt.
The solution is nothing more than refusing to pay, maintaining stability, and solving the problem with the so-called Chinese way. Big troubles will solve big problems, small troubles will solve small problems. No troubles, no solutions. If the trouble is really unbearable, it is just like squeezing toothpaste, solving a small amount of urgent problems. It is just being a hooligan, refusing to pay, and using all kinds of shady tricks to solve it. Some people say that this will not affect the credit and image of the Chinese government? Don’t worry about this. The Chinese government is shameless and has no credit at all.
This netizen said that it is said that there will be major personnel adjustments in the Central Propaganda Department. If Li Shulei is removed, then the signs are too obvious according to your script. This netizen is well-informed. I really don’t know. I don’t have any information. If he is right, it’s just a coincidence. I just analyzed it casually. It’s probably according to this roadmap. I just know a general direction. The first step is to purge the army and clean up the gun barrel. The overall situation has been determined, and it’s just a matter of time. Just wait for Miao Hua to explain.
According to Miao Hua’s explanation, we will decide how to deal with these people in the end. There are probably two directions, whether to let them go, retire, or live directly in Qincheng. Miao Hua will definitely be given an explanation. The legal procedures will definitely be completed for Miao Hua. It’s just pretending to be procedural justice, and the purpose is to sentence Miao Hua to death. After dealing with the last wave, there will be another wave of promotions. After all, one-third of the 30 generals in the Chinese military have been laid off. There are many vacant positions.
Let’s take a look at the message this netizen sent me. Last year, many people were arrested in the military and military industry system. I sorted out the messages sent by netizens, and I can already see the clues. The timeline is divided into three waves. Many people confuse the military system with the military-industrial system, which I think is still inaccurate. Although the military system and the military-industrial system are closely related. When the military arrests people, it is possible that people in the military-industrial system are involved, and the military-industrial system may also involve the arrest of military officers. Due to this close relationship, it is easy to confuse. But it should be viewed separately. This is clearer.
I separated the military-industrial system and only kept the military system, and it looked clear. The military-industrial system and the military system should not be the same thing. First of all, the time of the pot is now speculated to be June 19, 2024. Even if it is not this time, the difference from this time will not be much. This incident must have happened in June, not July. Commander of the Aerospace System Department Hao Weizhong,
Political Commissar of the Army Qin Shutong
Deputy Commander of the Army Li Huohui
Political Commissar of the Navy Yuan Huazhi
Director of the Military Science and Technology Commission Liu Guozhi. These people were all taken away in one pot.
The following people should have been arrested together with Miao Hua, including Qin Shengxiang, Director of Military Reform/Political Commissar of the Navy, Wang Chunning, Commander of the Armed Police, Miao Hua, Director of the General Political Department, Li Qiaoming, Commander of the Army, and Han Weiguo, Commander of the Army.
The previous wave obviously happened in 2023. At that time, it was still a struggle of words, or a struggle of words, but words didn’t work, so they had to fight with force. Let’s look at this wave of confrontation in the second half of 2023. The focus of the conflict is Li Shangfu.
At that time, Hu Jintao arrested Ju Qiansheng, Commander of the Strategic Support Force, Shang Hong, Commander of the Aerospace System Department, Li Shangfu, Minister of National Defense, Lin Bo, Deputy Minister of the Army Equipment Department, and Xia Qingyue, Director of the General Office of Equipment and Development, although Ju Qiansheng was later bailed out by Xi Jinping. The purpose of arresting this group of people at that time was to arrest Li Shangfu. Think about why Bi Yi from Jiang Zemin’s faction became the commander of the information support force and Li Wei from Jiang Zemin’s faction became the political commissar after Ju Qiansheng was arrested. They were all fought for, and the territory was snatched.
Xi Jinping arrested Hu Jintao’s Rocket Force Commander Li Yuchao, Air Force Commander Ding Laihang, and Rocket Force Commander Zhou Yaning. These people were just trying to stop Hu Jintao from arresting Li Shangfu, but it didn’t work.
You can see that the first half of 2024 is a gap. It seems that only Zhong Shaojun was demoted in April. Why did they stop in the first half of the year? Think about it, the reason is obvious. Li Keqiang died. Li Keqiang died at the end of October 2023. Hu Jintao stopped and stopped fighting for the time being. On June 19, 2024, it happened to be a pot, 7 months, half a year. It’s so obvious. No one was arrested in the first half of 2024, except for Zhong Shaojun, just to test it.
It was after Li Keqiang died that Hu Jintao and Zeng Qinghong stopped temporarily. No more fighting with words, ready to fight with force. Prepare for half a year. Before taking action, they tested Zhong Shaojun, but were driven away by Zhong Shaojun. They found that Xi Jinping did not have any violent resistance. They felt confident. Finally, they took action and arrested everyone at once. No one was arrested in the first half of 2024. They were just preparing at home, mobilizing troops and preparing to take action. When Li Keqiang died, they made up their minds to fight to the death and go all in. They didn’t dare to go all in during the 20th National Congress. There was no arrest in the silence before the war.
The news of these people being arrested at once came out in August and September, but in fact, they were all arrested at once on June 19. They released news today and tomorrow to tease you. They played house, arresting one today and one tomorrow.
The following are the commander of the armed police Wang Chunning
Director of the General Political Department Miao Hua
Army Commander Li Qiaoming
Army Commander Han Weiguo
It should not be arrested at once, but they were all arrested not too far apart in time, and they are accomplices.
We can also see the same problem when we look at Miao Hua. First of all, in this photo taken on October 29, Miao Hua sat between Chen Xi and Ni Yuefeng, instead of sitting with Liu Zhenli and Zhang Shengmin, members of the Central Military Commission. This proves that Miao Hua had been suspended from his position as a member of the Central Military Commission at that time. Going back to October 7 and 8, Miao Hua attended the celebration of the 70th anniversary of the founding of the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps. Was Miao Hua safe at that time? Definitely not. So where can we find Miao Hua at the earliest?
That is He Hongjun, who was promoted by Guo Boxiang, Tian Xiusi, Jia Ting’an and Zhang Youxia. Why did He Hongjun rush to be promoted to general less than a week before the Third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee? That is to say, at the Third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee, it was decided that Miao Hua would hand over his work to He Hongjun. After all, the position of director of the Political Work Department is very important. The purpose of promoting He Hongjun to general is to make He Hongjun qualified to take over Miao Hua’s work. After the Third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee, it took less than three months, two and a half months, until Miao Hua appeared in Xinjiang. It should not be October 29, but October 8, when Miao Hua returned to Beijing from Xinjiang, and he was suspended from his post as a member of the Central Military Commission.
On October 24, 2024, Miao Hua’s father-in-law Ye Hanlin died. At that time, Miao Hua had been suspended from his post as a member of the Central Military Commission and director of the Political Work Department. He was about to be arrested, so how could he be allowed to attend the funeral?
Another piece of evidence is the adjustment of the provincial leader this year. Everyone pays attention to this date, June 28, 2024. According to speculation, the date of the pot-to-pot arrest is June 19, 2024. This date is just after the time of the pot-to-pot arrest, which means that Huang Qiang, Liang Yanshun, Han Jun, and Li Yifei, these four people are not Xi Jinping’s people. Each piece of evidence is linked together, and finally, this date is stuck. Okay, thank you everyone.