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习近平疯狂减速,稍稍缓和与美日台澳四国关系
1、2023年9月10日,李强出席G20峰会与拜登短暂交流
2、2023年9月12日,美国政治新闻媒体《酒杯新闻》(Punchbowl News)率先报道,参议院民主党领袖舒默计划将在10月率领由两党议员组成的代表团访问中国。
3、2023年9月13日,路透社报道,消息人士指出,美国商务部长吉娜·雷蒙多(Gina Raimondo)预计将于本周会见美国一些重要企业的首席执行官。此前两周她曾访问中国,并对中国的商业状况表示担忧。
4、2023年9月13日,中国外交部表示,中国没有出台禁止购买和使用苹果等外国品牌手机的法律法规和政策文件。
5、2023年9月6日,日本首相岸田文雄在出访地印度尼西亚与中国国务院总理李强站着进行了简短的交谈。
6、2023年9月6日,共青团中央发表文章《日本还是排了,怎么看,怎么办?》,与反日爱国行为进行切割。
7、2023年9月9日,“2023年中国节”在日本东京开幕,中国驻日本大使吴江浩及夫人出席。
8、2023年9月11日,中国全国政协主席王沪宁当选中国和平统一促进会会长。
9、2023年9月12日,中国政府发布《中共中央 国务院关于支持福建探索海峡两岸融合发展新路 建设两岸融合发展示范区的意见》,鼓励台胞申领台胞居民居住证,台胞在闽定居落户实现“愿落尽落”。
10、2023年9月7日,澳大利亚总理阿尔巴尼斯与中国国务院总理李强进行会晤。阿尔巴尼斯确认他将于今年稍后访问中国。
11、2023年9月11日,《华尔街日报》报道,据知情人士以及习近平的公开讲话,这位中国最高领导人几乎没有表现出对经济前景感到担忧的迹象,似乎也无意支持推出更多刺激措施。
12、短评一:李强的政治行情有所上涨。李强办外交似乎效果比习近平好很多,一次G20会议,迅速缓和了与美国、日本、澳大利亚的关系。
13、短评二:王沪宁当选和统会会长及中央和国务院放缓对台关系。由于李强和王沪宁同时出现,说明是习近平的意思。但是,感觉无论李强还是王沪宁,似乎是个人,办事效果就比习近平好。
14、短评三:根据《华尔街日报》的报道,习近平出台更多刺激经济的措施,因此习近平突然缓和与美日台澳的关系,有两种可能,可能一,是突然改变主意,要缓和外交关系,那可能是经济有突然恶化的消息让习近平知道了。可能二,是习近平还是想在11月访美,大国外交抖威风而已。
15、短评四:是否与元老曾庆红、李克强施压有关?小编认为没有关系。
即便日经中泽克二君报道的曾庆红等元老等习近平施压是真实的,而且李克强确实在2023年8月31日露面敦煌。曾庆红、李克强猪叫只会提出两点要求,一是保护自己的家族利益,二是保护自己下属的官位。认为中共的高官会在乎中国的经济,在乎老百姓的死活,纯扯淡。
16、总结:由于李尚福被拿下的传闻还没有最后证实。如果李尚福被拿下,由于他被美国制裁,将会扫除美中关系的一大障碍。但是按照习近平“既要又要”“下大棋”的思路,他不会与俄罗斯撕破脸,与美日台澳四国关系缓和关系,应该是暂时的。
英文翻译
Xi Jinping is decelerating like crazy and slightly easing relations with the United States, Japan, Taiwan and Australia.
1. On September 10, 2023, Li Qiang attended the G20 Summit and had a brief exchange with Biden.
On September 10, 2023, Li Qiang attended the G20 Summit and had a brief exchange with Biden
2. On September 12, 2023, the American political news media “Punchbowl News” first reported that Senate Democratic leader Schumer planned to lead a delegation composed of members of both parties to visit China in October.
3. On September 13, 2023, Reuters reported that sources pointed out that US Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo is expected to meet with the CEOs of some important US companies this week. She visited China two weeks ago and expressed concerns about China’s business conditions.
4. On September 13, 2023, the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated that China has not issued laws, regulations or policy documents prohibiting the purchase and use of foreign brand mobile phones such as Apple.
5. On September 6, 2023, Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida had a brief standing conversation with Chinese Premier Li Qiang in Indonesia, where he was visiting.
6. On September 6, 2023, the Central Committee of the Communist Youth League published an article “Japan is still scheduled, what do you think and what should I do?” “, to separate it from anti-Japanese patriotic behavior.
7. On September 9, 2023, the “2023 China Festival” opened in Tokyo, Japan. Chinese Ambassador to Japan Wu Jianghao and his wife attended.
8. On September 11, 2023, Wang Huning, Chairman of the National Committee of the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference, was elected President of the China Association for the Promotion of Peaceful Reunification.
9. On September 12, 2023, the Chinese government issued the “Opinions of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the State Council on Supporting Fujian to Explore a New Road for Cross-Strait Integrated Development and Build a Cross-Strait Integrated Development Demonstration Zone”, encouraging Taiwan compatriots to apply for Taiwan compatriots’ residence permits. Settling down in Fujian realizes “every wish is settled”.
10. On September 7, 2023, Australian Prime Minister Albanese met with Chinese Premier Li Qiang. Albanese confirmed he will visit China later this year.
11. On September 11, 2023, the Wall Street Journal reported that according to people familiar with the matter and Xi Jinping’s public speeches, China’s top leader has shown few signs of concern about the economic outlook and seems to have no intention of supporting the introduction of more stimulus. measure.
12. Short comment 1: Li Qiang’s political market has increased. Li Qiang’s diplomacy seems to be much more effective than Xi Jinping’s. A G20 meeting quickly eased relations with the United States, Japan, and Australia.
13. Short comment 2: Wang Huning was elected chairman of the Peace and Reunification Council and the central government and the State Council slowed down relations with Taiwan. Since Li Qiang and Wang Huning appeared at the same time, it shows that it was Xi Jinping’s intention. However, it seems that both Li Qiang and Wang Huning are individuals, and their performance is better than that of Xi Jinping.
14. Short comment three: According to the Wall Street Journal, Xi Jinping has introduced more measures to stimulate the economy. Therefore, Xi Jinping suddenly eased relations with the United States, Japan, Taiwan and Australia. There are two possibilities. One possibility is that he suddenly changed his mind and wanted to ease diplomacy. relationship, it may be that the news of a sudden deterioration in the economy came to Xi Jinping’s attention. The second possibility is that Xi Jinping still wants to visit the United States in November, just to show his prestige in major power diplomacy.
15. Short Comment 4: Is it related to the pressure exerted by veterans Zeng Qinghong and Li Keqiang? The editor thinks it doesn’t matter.
Even if it is true that Zeng Qinghong and other veterans were waiting for Xi Jinping to put pressure on him as reported by Nikkei Zeke Erjun, and Li Keqiang did appear in Dunhuang on August 31, 2023. Zeng Qinghong and Li Keqiang will only make two demands. One is to protect their family interests, and the other is to protect the official positions of their subordinates. It is pure nonsense to think that senior officials of the Chinese Communist Party care about China’s economy and the lives of ordinary people.
16. Summary: The rumors that Li Shangfu was taken down have not been confirmed yet. If Lee Sang-bok is captured, a major obstacle to U.S.-China relations will be removed since he is sanctioned by the United States. However, according to Xi Jinping’s idea of “playing a big game while wanting both”, he will not break up with Russia, and the easing of relations with the United States, Japan, Taiwan and Australia should be temporary.