蔡润候任中国驻欧盟大使。黄旭聪晋升中将,中部战区副司令代理司令。
大家好,
三中全会之后,第16个和第17个非习近平派系的官员军官上位
蔡润候任中国驻欧盟大使,黄旭聪晋升中将。
黄旭聪更严重,习近平莫名其妙丧失了军权。
我们看一下两个人背景
蔡润,中国驻以色列大使,升任驻欧盟大使
候任大使,还需要欧盟的确认,中国驻欧盟大使已经空缺4个月了
中国驻以色列大使是正局级
中国驻欧盟大使是副部级
所以
蔡润是从正局级升任副部级
2000年-2005年是蔡润仕途的快速上升期,5年之前,蔡润从正处升任
正局级
可能是2005年升任正局级,也可能是2004年升任正局级
从此之后蔡润的仕途就走入了瓶颈期
20年在正局级原地踏步
期间换了五六次岗位
现时担任中国驻美国大使馆参赞、公使衔参赞(正司级)
然后是中国外交部政策研究司副司长(正司级)
正司级的级别担任副司长
后来担任中国外交部政策规划司司长,中国驻葡萄牙大使
中国驻以色列大使
担任20年的正局级,一直就上不去
蔡润是哪一个派系啊
这个比较难猜啊
中央外事办这个位置比较特殊
几乎能接触到所有的中共高层
如果蔡润是当时的总书记江泽民的人,那就是江泽民派系的
如果蔡润是当时的总理的人,那他就是习近平陈云这个派系的
蔡润肯定是刘华秋的人
和舒庆,解振华是一个道理啊
解振华担任环保总局局长期间
把舒庆从副处提拔到正局级
解振华因为处分,失业了一年,在家待业一年
在这一年里,舒庆也从正局级,降回了副局级
蔡润也是一样,刘华秋5年内,把蔡润从正处级提拔成正局级
但是刘华秋下去之后
蔡润20年没有晋升,在正局级岗位上,徘徊了20年
都是一个道理
主子下去了
奴才就上不去
刘华秋应该就是江泽民的人吧,
因此蔡润也是江泽民的人
为什么蔡润不是习近平派系的啊
因为蔡润20年没有提拔
这中间经历了胡锦涛和习近平两个朝代
习近平已经当了12年的总书记
蔡润如果是习近平的人
习近平不可能12年都不提拔蔡润
现在想起来提拔蔡润了
而且中央外事办
虽然也会跟总理打交道
但是
还是总书记管的
当时的总书记就是江泽民
因此
蔡润是三中全会之后
提拔的第16个非习近平派系的官员
然后我们看第七十四集团军军长黄旭聪
少将升任中将
这个严重了
如果黄旭聪不是习近平派系的
那说明习近平不仅失去了地方官员的人事权
连军队官员的人事权也失去了
军权都没有了
比较严重啊
是
习包子要出来见
越共中央总书记、国家主席苏林
但是
提拔了一个江泽民派系的蔡润是怎么回事呢?
江泽民的骨灰都被习包子扬了
而且蔡润被习包子,压了12年都没提拔
黄旭聪原来是第七十四集团军军长,少将军衔
第七十四集团军属于南部战区
军部驻地在广东省惠州市惠州西湖
现在黄旭聪出现在中部战区的新闻报道里面
而且是少将升任中将
大概率,黄旭聪担任中部战区的副司令
中部战区原来的司令黄铭调任北部战区司令
由于中共的黑箱政治
并没有公布黄铭的继任者
现在
黄旭聪,很可能担任中部战区的副司令
由于中部战区的司令,目前的信息是空缺
黄旭聪是不是以副司令的省份主持中部战区的的工作
我们不知道
因为中共是一个黑箱
但是黄旭聪已经升任了中将
上将对应战区司令
黄旭聪大概率是邓小平胡锦涛派系的军官
是习包子派系的可能性比较小
我给大家简单的讲一下
怎么看派系
一个关键词就是地师级
地级市的市委书记和市长,相当于军队的正师级的师长,先可能是旅长
就相当于正局级
地级市的副职,副市长,副手,就相当于,军队的副师长,现在可能是副旅长
也就是副局级
然后就要澄清一下
政治小白常犯的常识性的错误
省委书记不能提拔省长
省委书记甚至不能提拔省委常委
省委常委都是由政治局常委会讨论的
所以叫做中管干部
省委书记和省长假装是政治局常委会讨论
但是其实都是总书记和总理决定的
其他常委不能决定省委书记和省长的人选
其实省委常委也主要是总书记和总理决定的
所以习近平现在连续提拔了17个非习近平派系的官员
他就不是总书记
总书记最重要的权力就是提拔正部级和副部级的干部
这是总书记最核心的权力
谁有这权力,谁就是总书记
总书记才是真正的中组部长,中组部长李干杰
他就是一个跑腿办事的,啥都不是
三中全会之前是习近平说了算
现在不知道怎么回事儿
江泽民,胡锦涛,习近平这三个人
怎么分派系呢?
就要找关键词
江泽民派系的关键词是什么呢
第一机械工业部,余秋里,华国锋,胡耀邦,石油帮
胡锦涛派系的关键词是什么呢
邓小平,二野,王瑞林,张廷发
习近平派系的关键词是什么呢?
习仲勋,周恩来,陈云,谢振华,贺龙
所以就按照这些关键词去找就可以了
找出来是是谁
就是哪个派系的
所以我们就找一下就可以了
2016年7月10日,48岁的黄旭聪任陆军第一集团军(现为陆军第七十二集团军 , 驻地为浙江省湖州市)副军长。
几乎在同时,王秀斌担任第一集团军的军长
王秀斌正是刚刚被拿下了
南部战区司令
而第一军最早就是贺龙的部队,也就是习包子这个派系的
那黄旭聪是不是就是习包子这个派系的呢?
军长不能提拔副军长
是上面的战区司令提拔的
也就是说,黄旭聪和王秀斌,同时在2016年7月
一个担任第一集团军军长,一个担任副军长
王秀斌是31军调过来的
黄旭聪是上一任军长提拔的
不是跟黄旭聪搭班子的王秀斌提拔
上一任军长,冯文平出自十二军,现在叫做七十一军
十二军是刘邓大军主力中主力
冯文平是从十二军调到第一军当军长的
这就有点意思了啊
黄旭聪很可能不是习包子的人啊
这事儿就大了
习包子丧失军权了
12军的第一任军长叫做王近山
王近山据说是电视剧《亮剑》主人公“李云龙”的主要原型之一
是不是我不知道啊
邓小平曾多次在不同的场合中提起爱将王近山:“二野战功最大的,就是王近山。”
王近山应该就是邓小平的人
当然了,这么年了,中间有什么变化也是正常的
大概划分,中原,二野,第十军,十开头的部队
都是邓小平的,也就是胡锦涛的
黄旭聪是冯文平提拔的
冯文平原来是第12集团军装甲第2师的师长
黄旭聪73041部队参谋长
73041部队可能是合成第十旅,原装甲第十师三旅的部队番号 , 驻地为江苏省苏州市金阊区
黄旭聪和冯文平都是坦克师,装甲师的背景
也就是说,黄旭聪和习包子的王秀斌是军长副军长
搭班子的关系
军长不能提拔副军长
军长只能提拔师长副师长
黄旭聪是上一任军长,冯文平
而冯文平是来自第12军,邓小平的部队
冯文平担任第12军装甲第2师师长时候的军长
叫做王教成
王教成曾经和胡春华一起植树
也就是说王教成担任南部战区司令的时候
胡春华担任广东省委书记
胡锦涛比较爱胡春华
胡春华基本就是胡锦涛的干儿子
胡锦涛派王教成去保护胡春华
王教成也是12军出来的军人
胡锦涛另外一个干儿子
李克强
他没有保护好
就被习包子弄死了
因此黄旭聪是习近平派系的可能性只有10%
是胡锦涛派系的可能性是90%
好的
谢谢大家
英文翻译
Xi Jinping lost his military power. Cai Run and Huang Xucong were the 16th and 17th officers and military officers who were not from Xi Jinping’s faction to take office after the Third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee. Cai Run is the candidate for Chinese ambassador to the European Union. Huang Xucong was promoted to lieutenant general and deputy commander of the Central Theater Command acting commander.
Cai Run is the candidate for Chinese ambassador to the European Union. Huang Xucong was promoted to lieutenant general and deputy commander of the Central Theater Command acting commander.
Hello everyone,
After the Third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee, the 16th and 17th officers and military officers who were not from Xi Jinping’s faction to take office
Cai Run is the candidate for Chinese ambassador to the European Union and Huang Xucong was promoted to lieutenant general.
Huang Xucong is even more serious. Xi Jinping lost his military power inexplicably.
Let’s take a look at the backgrounds of the two people
Cai Run, Chinese Ambassador to Israel, was promoted to Ambassador to the European Union
The ambassador-designate still needs confirmation from the European Union. The position of Chinese Ambassador to the European Union has been vacant for 4 months
The Chinese Ambassador to Israel is at the bureau level
The Chinese Ambassador to the European Union is at the vice-ministerial level
So
Cai Run was promoted from the bureau level to the vice-ministerial level
2000-2005 was a period of rapid rise in Cai Run’s career. Five years ago, Cai Run was promoted from the director level to the bureau level
It may be that he was promoted to the bureau level in 2005, or it may be that he was promoted to the bureau level in 2004
Since then, Cai Run’s career has entered a bottleneck period
Standing still at the bureau level for 20 years
Changed positions five or six times during this period
Currently serving as the counselor and minister-counselor (at the bureau level) of the Chinese Embassy in the United States
Then he was the Deputy Director General of the Policy Research Department of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of China (director-level).
He served as the Deputy Director General at the director-level.
Later, he served as the Director General of the Policy Planning Department of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of China, the Chinese Ambassador to Portugal.
The Chinese Ambassador to Israel.
He served as the director-level official for 20 years, but he could not get promoted.
Which faction does Cai Run belong to?
It is hard to guess.
The position of the Central Foreign Affairs Office is quite special.
Almost all the top leaders of the Communist Party of China can be contacted.
If Cai Run was a member of the then General Secretary Jiang Zemin, then he was from the faction of Jiang Zemin.
If Cai Run was a member of the then Prime Minister, then he was from the faction of Xi Jinping and Chen Yun.
Cai Run must be a member of Liu Huaqiu.
It is the same as Shu Qing and Xie Zhenhua.
When Xie Zhenhua was the director of the State Environmental Protection Administration, he promoted Shu Qing from deputy director to director. Bureau level
Xie Zhenhua was unemployed for a year because of the punishment, and stayed at home for a year
During this year, Shu Qing was also demoted from bureau level to deputy bureau level
The same is true for Cai Run. Liu Huaqiu promoted Cai Run from division level to bureau level within 5 years
But after Liu Huaqiu was removed
Cai Run did not get promoted for 20 years, and lingered at the bureau level position for 20 years
It’s the same principle
The master is removed
The slave can’t get promoted
Liu Huaqiu should be Jiang Zemin’s man,
So Cai Run is also Jiang Zemin’s man
Why is Cai Run not from Xi Jinping’s faction?
Because Cai Run did not get promoted for 20 years
This period has gone through the two dynasties of Hu Jintao and Xi Jinping
Xi Jinping has been the general secretary for 12 years
If Cai Run is Xi Jinping’s man
Xi Jinping cannot be 1 Cai Run was not promoted for 2 years. Now I think of promoting Cai Run. Moreover, although the Central Foreign Affairs Office also deals with the Prime Minister, it is still under the control of the General Secretary. The General Secretary at that time was Jiang Zemin. Therefore, Cai Run is the 16th official who is not from the Xi Jinping faction promoted after the Third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee. Then we look at the commander of the 74th Group Army, Huang Xucong, who was promoted from major general to lieutenant general. This is serious. If Huang Xucong is not from the Xi Jinping faction, it means that Xi Jinping has not only lost the personnel power over local officials, but also the personnel power over military officials. He has no military power. It is quite serious. Yes, Xi Baozi is going to come out to meet Su Lin, the General Secretary of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of Vietnam and the President of the country. But, what is the matter with promoting Cai Run, who is from the Jiang Zemin faction? Jiang Zemin’s ashes were all in Xi Baozi’s hands.
And Cai Run was suppressed by Xi Baozi for 12 years without any promotion.
Huang Xucong was originally the commander of the 74th Group Army, with the rank of major general.
The 74th Group Army belongs to the Southern Theater Command.
The military headquarters is located in Huizhou West Lake, Huizhou City, Guangdong Province.
Now Huang Xucong appears in news reports about the Central Theater Command.
And he was promoted from major general to lieutenant general.
It is highly likely that Huang Xucong will serve as the deputy commander of the Central Theater Command.
Huang Ming, the original commander of the Central Theater Command, was transferred to the commander of the Northern Theater Command.
Due to the CCP’s black box politics,
Huang Ming’s successor has not been announced.
Now, Huang Xucong is likely to serve as the commander of the Central Theater Command. Deputy Commander of the Central Theater
Since there is no information about the commander of the Central Theater
Whether Huang Xucong presided over the work of the Central Theater as the deputy commander of the province
We don’t know
Because the CCP is a black box
But Huang Xucong has been promoted to Lieutenant General
General corresponds to the theater commander
Huang Xucong is most likely an officer from the Deng Xiaoping and Hu Jintao faction
The possibility of being from the Xi Baozi faction is relatively small
Let me briefly explain to you
How to look at factions
A key word is prefecture-level division
The secretary of the municipal party committee and the mayor of a prefecture-level city are equivalent to the commander of a full division in the army, and may first be a brigade commander
It is equivalent to the bureau level.
The deputy position of a prefecture-level city, the deputy mayor, the deputy is equivalent to the deputy division commander of the army, and now it may be the deputy brigade commander.
That is, the deputy bureau level.
Then we need to clarify the common sense mistakes that political novices often make.
The provincial party secretary cannot promote the governor.
The provincial party secretary cannot even promote the provincial party committee standing committee.
The provincial party committee standing committee members are discussed by the Politburo Standing Committee.
So they are called central management cadres.
The provincial party secretary and the governor pretend to be discussed by the Politburo Standing Committee.
But in fact, it is all decided by the general secretary and the prime minister.
Other standing committee members cannot decide the candidates for the provincial party secretary and the governor.
In fact, the provincial party committee standing committee The committee is mainly decided by the general secretary and the prime minister.
So Xi Jinping has promoted 17 officials who are not from Xi Jinping’s faction.
He is not the general secretary.
The most important power of the general secretary is to promote ministerial and vice-ministerial cadres.
This is the core power of the general secretary.
Whoever has this power is the general secretary.
The general secretary is the real head of the Organization Department, and the head of the Central Committee, Li Ganjie.
He is just a runner, nothing.
Before the Third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee, Xi Jinping had the final say.
Now I don’t know what’s going on.
Jiang Zemin, Hu Jintao, and Xi Jinping.
How to divide factions?
You have to find keywords.
What are the keywords of Jiang Zemin’s faction?
The First Ministry of Machine Building, Yu Qiuli, Hua Guofeng, Hu Yaobang, Oil Gang.
What are the keywords of Hu Jintao’s faction?
Deng Xiaoping, Second Field Army, Wang Ruilin, Zhang Tingfa.
What are the keywords of Xi Jinping’s faction?
Xi Zhongxun, Zhou Enlai, Chen Yun, Xie Zhenhua, He Long
So just search according to these keywords
Find out who it is
Which faction it belongs to
So just search
On July 10, 2016, 48-year-old Huang Xucong was appointed as the deputy commander of the First Army Group (now the 72nd Army Group, stationed in Huzhou City, Zhejiang Province).
Almost at the same time, Wang Xiubin served as the commander of the First Army Group
Wang Xiubin had just been taken down
The commander of the Southern Theater
And the First Army was originally He Long’s troops, that is, Xi Baozi’s faction
So is Huang Xucong from Xi Baozi’s faction?
The army commander cannot promote the deputy army commander.
It is promoted by the theater commander above.
That is to say, Huang Xucong and Wang Xiubin, at the same time in July 2016,
one served as the commander of the First Group Army, and the other served as the deputy army commander.
Wang Xiubin was transferred from the 31st Army.
Huang Xucong was promoted by the previous army commander.
It was not promoted by Wang Xiubin who worked with Huang Xucong.
The previous army commander, Feng Wenping, came from the 12th Army, which is now called the 71st Army.
The 12th Army is the main force of the main force of Liu Deng’s army.
Feng Wenping was transferred from the 12th Army to the First Army as the army commander.
This is a bit interesting.
Huang Xucong is probably not Xi Baozi’s man.
This is a big deal. Xi Baozi has lost his military power.
The first army commander of the 12th Army is called Wang Jinshan.
Wang Jin Shan is said to be one of the main prototypes of the protagonist “Li Yunlong” in the TV series “Bright Sword”.
I don’t know if I know it.
Deng Xiaoping has mentioned his favorite general Wang Jinshan on many occasions: “The one with the greatest military achievements in the Second Field Army is Wang Jinshan.”
Wang Jinshan should be Deng Xiaoping’s man.
Of course, after so many years, it is normal for there to be some changes in the middle.
Roughly divided, the Central Plains, the Second Field Army, the Tenth Army, and the troops starting with ten are all Deng Xiaoping’s, that is, Hu Jintao’s.
Huang Xucong was promoted by Feng Wenping. Feng Wenping was originally the commander of the 2nd Armored Division of the 12th Group Army. Huang Xucong is the chief of staff of the 73041 unit. The 73041 unit may be the unit number of the 10th Combined Brigade, the original 3rd Brigade of the 10th Armored Division, The station is in Jinchang District, Suzhou City, Jiangsu Province
Huang Xucong and Feng Wenping both have the background of tank division and armored division
That is to say, Huang Xucong and Xi Baozi’s Wang Xiubin are the army commander and deputy army commander
The relationship of team
The army commander cannot promote the deputy army commander
The army commander can only promote the division commander and deputy division commander
Huang Xucong is the previous army commander, Feng Wenping
And Feng Wenping is from the 12th Army, Deng Xiaoping’s troops
The army commander when Feng Wenping was the commander of the 2nd Armored Division of the 12th Army
It was called Wang Jiaocheng
Wang Jiaocheng once planted with Hu Chunhua Shu
That is to say, when Wang Jiaocheng was the commander of the Southern Theater, Hu Chunhua was the secretary of the Guangdong Provincial Party Committee
Hu Jintao loved Hu Chunhua more
Hu Chunhua was basically Hu Jintao’s godson
Hu Jintao sent Wang Jiaocheng to protect Hu Chunhua
Wang Jiaocheng was also a soldier from the 12th Army
Hu Jintao’s other godson, Li Keqiang, failed to protect him and was killed by Xi Baozi
Therefore, the possibility that Huang Xucong was from Xi Jinping’s faction was only 10%
The possibility that he was from Hu Jintao’s faction was 90%
Okay
Thank you everyone