李克强的人马纷纷上位，还能有谁四中全会接总书记？为什么温家宝露面，胡锦涛不露面？胡海峰会提拔到什么高度？
大家好，给大家说一下山西副省长张韶华。张韶华是姜大明的人，最喜欢分析的时候遇到姜大明这种，无可争辩的证据。姜大明是少数几个敢去吊唁李克强的人。就是说如果任何一个官员，是姜大明提拔的，那就不用再继续论述了，就是姜大明让李克强提拔的。我说了只有总书记或者总理才能提拔正部级副部级，少数是人大委员长提拔的。有的人连正部级副部级中管干部是政治局常委会任命的，这个基本键政的常识都没搞明白。省委书记或者省长提拔不了副省长。
政治局常委讨论总书记和总理不同意，怎么可能通过呢？也不是百分百通过不了，那肯定是少数情况。把这些常识性的知识搞明白，再去套在这些官员身上，就是一些程式化而已。山西这个中国第一政治洼地的地位，我也说过了，山西省委常委也许还有进步的空间。山西省委书记就是仕途的终点站，历史上21个山西省委书记没有一个人升任政治局常委，政治局委员，副总理，人大副委员长，政协副主席，最高检最高法，任何一个副国级。中国唯一的一个省份，名副其实的政治洼地。
所以习近平以前大权在握的时候，实在没办法，就允许李克强在山西提拔的官员。当然，也不是说山西所有的官员都是李克强派系的。但是山西副省长张韶华的确是李克强派系的。三中全会之后，习近平的人一个也没有被提拔为正部级副部级，提拔了这么多的李克强的人上来，就是李克强的政治继承人要接班，总书记或者总理我说不准，反正是其中的一个。想想就知道是谁，胡锦涛一共两个干儿子，一个干儿子李克强被习近平弄死了。现在胡锦涛把李克强的班底都提拔上了。还能给谁啊，给他另外一个干儿子呗。
什么胡春华连政治局委员都不是。胡锦涛既然能把习近平的6个上将都抓走，不止6个，还要继续抓的。胡锦涛如果能把习近平的上将都抓走，有军权。让谁上，让谁下，那还不是胡锦涛一句话的事情吗？我回复一下这名网友的说法，胡锦涛如果那么牛逼就不会被架出会场了。我的回复是，嗯，习近平现在老后悔了，天天在中南海喝茅台，一边哭一边说。早知道当时就不该把胡锦涛架出去，应该直接掏枪出来毙了。
习近平当初如果跟金正恩一样，直接把胡锦涛炮决了，就不会有后面的事情了。如果江泽民的军队听胡锦涛指挥，胡锦涛和习近平势均力敌，单说实力。三中全会之前胡锦涛有15个上将，习近平有14个上将，胡锦涛15个上将里面有5个是江泽民的人。虽然实力，势均力敌，但是习近平毕竟有军委主席的头衔。胡锦涛也没有那么容易把习近平搞定，除了实力，还有要决心和运气。决心不就是因为习近平把李克强弄死了，把胡锦涛温家宝李瑞环，曾庆红，这些老登，吓怕了。反而激起了他们的斗志。
运气是什么，我不知道。这有啥不信的，这么多上将已经被胡锦涛抓走了。我一开始也不相信啊。三中全会之前，提拔10个正部级副部级官员，得有七八个是习近平的人。三中全会之后，提拔了10个官员，我发现没有一个是习近平的人，已经觉得不对劲儿了。等到提拔到第20个官员的时候，已经可以确认，习近平下台了。现在已经提拔了80个官员了，没有一个是习近平的人。还能怎么解释啊。
2012年1月之前，44岁的张韶华任潍坊市潍城区委书记。当时的市委书记是许立全（2011年12月 – 2013年3月）。2002年12月 – 2006年9月，47岁的许立全任济南市委常委、秘书长兼市委市直机关工委书记、济南经济开发区管委会党委书记。当时的济南市委书记是孙淑义（1995年6月 – 2004年2月）和姜大明（2004年2月 – 2007年3月）。
就是说许立全虽然是姜大明前一任济南市委书记孙淑义提拔的，但是姜大明继续使用许立全担任自己的大秘。姜大明用了许立全两年半，应该是自己人。说明姜大明前面的那个济南市委书记孙淑义很可能也是邓小平胡锦涛派系的。
一码归一码，我对姜大明也不了解。但是仅仅凭，李克强走了，姜大明敢去吊唁李克强这一点。当时那么多人，躲都来不及呢。起码在一这点上，姜大明的人品是经得住考验的。大家可以接着看热闹了，如果习近平下台，还会有谁去支持习近平的。如果习近平下台，或者像四人帮一样被打成反革命，如果还有习近平马仔坚决支持习近平。
我也会称赞习近平的马仔的。习近平自己不是说了吗，竟无一人是男儿。等到习近平下台以后，我们看看有没有人能够站出来，力挺习近平。想都不用想，大部分都是墙头草。
所以张韶华就是李克强把他从山东潍坊调到中央政法委，不然，张韶华怎么就能从山东一下子调到中央的。这名网友说的，一时间分不清包子下不下好，下了共产党又能延续几年，不下整个共产党能早点灭亡。
我的回复是：这是共产党洗脑的说法，苏联3年换了3个总书记，安德罗波夫，契尔年科，戈尔巴乔夫。才垮台的，习包子一直干，就和勃列日涅夫一样，一直僵化下去，共产党怎么能早点灭亡？
这名网友说的，未免有点倒果为因了，没有勃列日涅夫霍霍那么久，换了这仨就一定还垮台吗？没有前面几代皇帝的不懈努力，崇祯就一定是亡国之君吗？这个说的也挺有道理的，我支持你的说法。
历史没有假设，我们也不知道到底加速到什么程度，共产党就能垮台。很多事情也不是某一个人能够决定的。中国不属于共产党，也不属于习近平。
大时代马上就要到来了
这名网友问：胡锦涛 自从葬礼出席过 近两年一直都没有露面是什么原因啊！原因就是我也不知道。我不是胡锦涛办公室发言人，这个问题应该问胡海峰。我只能说说个人的看法，三中全会之前，习近平也不让胡锦涛出来了。当然也不一定是三中全会这个时间点，也可能是2024年6月。三中全会之后，温家宝李瑞环都已经出来了，不需要胡锦涛出来了。胡锦涛是老板，没有必要出来了。
就是之前可能是出不来，现在是没必要。我知道可能是担心，首先觉得是胡锦涛有没有实力干下习近平，20大已经失败了。其次有没有身体条件呗。我认为有，每个人来到这个世界上，都是带着任务来的。胡锦涛一生太顺，七十多才遇到习近平这个一生最大的劫难。如果胡锦涛挺得过来，就证明邓小平没有看错人。如果胡锦涛挺不过来，就证明邓小平看错人了。韩信还受过胯下之辱，邓小平还三起三落呢。这些不算事儿。
我认为胡锦涛没事儿的证据是，胡锦涛已经找了一个接班人，就是周金星，江胡习武后，江山再重头。武后就是周，金星就是启明星。据说推背图上有一段，也可以理解成周金星。大家可以自己找来看看。胡锦涛还有任务没有完成呢，他死不了。他不把习近平干趴下，他死不了。我不是他的保健医生，我也不知道他的身体状态。人活一口气，他不完成任务，就不能死。这就是玄学啊。
这名网友问，胡海峰将来能到什么高度。正部级。我不是背书胡锦涛，如果胡锦涛真的不要脸把胡海峰在往上提拔，也不是我能预测的。如果仅仅是一个政治评论，那就是正部级，就是根据已有的信息，来做判断。胡锦涛已经有接班人，代理人了，那个人就不是胡海峰。胡海峰仕途天花板就是正部级。好的，谢谢大家。
英文翻译
Li Keqiang’s people are all in power, who else can take over as general secretary at the Fourth Plenary Session? Why did Wen Jiabao show up but Hu Jintao didn’t? How high will Hu Haifeng be promoted?
Hello everyone, let me tell you about Zhang Shaohua, vice governor of Shanxi Province. Zhang Shaohua is Jiang Daming’s man. I like to encounter indisputable evidence like Jiang Daming when I analyze things. Jiang Daming is one of the few people who dare to go to mourn Li Keqiang. That is to say, if any official is promoted by Jiang Daming, then there is no need to continue to discuss it, it was Jiang Daming who asked Li Keqiang to promote him. I said that only the general secretary or the prime minister can promote ministerial-level and vice-ministerial-level officials, and a few are promoted by the chairman of the National People’s Congress. Some people don’t even understand the basic political common sense that ministerial-level and vice-ministerial-level central management cadres are appointed by the Political Bureau Standing Committee. The provincial party secretary or governor cannot promote the vice governor.
How can the Political Bureau Standing Committee approve the general secretary and the prime minister if they disagree? It’s not 100% impossible, but it must be a minority case. If you understand these common sense knowledge and then apply them to these officials, it is just some routine. I have also said that Shanxi is the first political depression in China. The Standing Committee of the Shanxi Provincial Party Committee may still have room for improvement. The Secretary of the Shanxi Provincial Party Committee is the end of the official career. In history, none of the 21 Shanxi Provincial Party Committee Secretaries have been promoted to the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau, the Political Bureau, the Vice Premier, the Vice Chairman of the National People’s Congress, the Vice Chairman of the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference, the Supreme People’s Procuratorate, the Supreme People’s Court, or any vice-state level. It is the only province in China that is truly a political depression.
So when Xi Jinping was in power, he had no choice but to allow Li Keqiang to promote officials in Shanxi. Of course, it does not mean that all officials in Shanxi are from Li Keqiang’s faction. But Shanxi Vice Governor Zhang Shaohua is indeed from Li Keqiang’s faction. After the Third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee, none of Xi Jinping’s people were promoted to the ministerial level or the vice-ministerial level. So many of Li Keqiang’s people were promoted, which means that Li Keqiang’s political successor will take over. I can’t say whether he will be the general secretary or the prime minister, but he will be one of them. Just think about it and you will know who it is. Hu Jintao has two godsons, and one of them, Li Keqiang, was killed by Xi Jinping. Now Hu Jintao has promoted all of Li Keqiang’s team members. Who else can he give it to? Give him another godson.
What Hu Chunhua is not even a member of the Politburo. Since Hu Jintao can arrest all of Xi Jinping’s six generals, he will arrest more than six. If Hu Jintao can arrest all of Xi Jinping’s generals, he will have military power. Who to let go and who to let go, isn’t it just a matter of Hu Jintao’s words? I will reply to this netizen’s statement. If Hu Jintao was so awesome, he would not have been escorted out of the venue. My reply is, well, Xi Jinping is regretting it now. He drinks Maotai in Zhongnanhai every day, crying and talking. If he had known earlier, he should not have escorted Hu Jintao out. He should have taken out a gun and shot him directly.
If Xi Jinping had just executed Hu Jintao directly like Kim Jong-un, there would be no subsequent events. If Jiang Zemin’s army obeyed Hu Jintao’s command, Hu Jintao and Xi Jinping would be evenly matched, just in terms of strength. Before the Third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee, Hu Jintao had 15 generals and Xi Jinping had 14 generals. Among Hu Jintao’s 15 generals, 5 were Jiang Zemin’s people. Although they were evenly matched in terms of strength, Xi Jinping had the title of Chairman of the Military Commission after all. It was not so easy for Hu Jintao to deal with Xi Jinping. In addition to strength, it also required determination and luck. Determination was because Xi Jinping killed Li Keqiang and frightened Hu Jintao, Wen Jiabao, Li Ruihuan, Zeng Qinghong, and other old Dengs. Instead, it aroused their fighting spirit.
What is luck? I don’t know. Why don’t you believe it? So many generals have been arrested by Hu Jintao. I didn’t believe it at first. Before the Third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee, 7 or 8 of the 10 ministerial and deputy ministerial officials promoted were Xi Jinping’s people. After the Third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee, 10 officials were promoted, and I found that none of them were Xi Jinping’s people. I felt something was wrong. By the time the 20th official was promoted, it was confirmed that Xi Jinping had stepped down. Now 80 officials have been promoted, and none of them are Xi Jinping’s people. How else can it be explained?
Before January 2012, 44-year-old Zhang Shaohua served as secretary of Weicheng District Committee of Weifang City. The secretary of the municipal party committee at that time was Xu Liquan (December 2011-March 2013). From December 2002 to September 2006, 47-year-old Xu Liquan served as member of the Standing Committee of Jinan Municipal Party Committee, Secretary-General and Secretary of the Municipal Party Committee and Municipal Organs Working Committee, and Secretary of the Party Committee of Jinan Economic Development Zone Management Committee. The secretaries of Jinan Municipal Party Committee at that time were Sun Shuyi (June 1995-February 2004) and Jiang Daming (February 2004-March 2007).
That is to say, although Xu Liquan was promoted by Sun Shuyi, the previous secretary of Jinan Municipal Party Committee, Jiang Daming continued to use Xu Liquan as his chief secretary. Jiang Daming used Xu Liquan for two and a half years, so he should be one of his own. This means that Sun Shuyi, the party secretary of Jinan before Jiang Daming, was probably also from the Deng Xiaoping and Hu Jintao faction.
One thing for one thing, I don’t know much about Jiang Daming. But just based on the fact that Li Keqiang passed away, Jiang Daming dared to go to mourn Li Keqiang. There were so many people at that time, and he couldn’t even hide in time. At least in this regard, Jiang Daming’s character can stand the test. Everyone can continue to watch the fun. If Xi Jinping steps down, who will support Xi Jinping? If Xi Jinping steps down, or is labeled a counter-revolutionary like the Gang of Four, if there are still Xi Jinping’s lackeys who firmly support Xi Jinping.
I will also praise Xi Jinping’s lackeys. Didn’t Xi Jinping himself say that none of them are real men? After Xi Jinping steps down, let’s see if anyone can stand up and support Xi Jinping. Don’t even think about it, most of them are fence-sitters.
So Zhang Shaohua was transferred from Weifang, Shandong to the Central Political and Legal Affairs Commission by Li Keqiang. Otherwise, how could Zhang Shaohua be transferred from Shandong to the Central Committee all of a sudden? This netizen said that it was hard to tell whether Baozi was going to be removed or not. If he was removed, the Communist Party could continue for a few more years. If he was not removed, the entire Communist Party could perish earlier.
My reply is: This is the Communist Party’s brainwashing statement. The Soviet Union changed three general secretaries in three years, Andropov, Chernenko, and Gorbachev. It collapsed. Xi Baozi has been doing it, just like Brezhnev, and it has been rigid. How could the Communist Party perish earlier?
What this netizen said is a bit of a cause and effect. Without Brezhnev’s long-term efforts, would it have collapsed if these three were replaced? Without the unremitting efforts of the previous generations of emperors, would Chongzhen have been a king who lost his country? This statement is also quite reasonable, and I support your statement.
There are no assumptions in history, and we don’t know to what extent the Communist Party will collapse. Many things cannot be decided by a single person. China does not belong to the Communist Party, nor to Xi Jinping.
The great era is coming soon
This netizen asked: Why has Hu Jintao not appeared in public for nearly two years since he attended the funeral? I don’t know the reason. I am not the spokesperson of Hu Jintao’s office. This question should be asked to Hu Haifeng. I can only express my personal opinion. Before the Third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee, Xi Jinping did not allow Hu Jintao to come out. Of course, it may not be the time of the Third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee, but it may be June 2024. After the Third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee, Wen Jiabao and Li Ruihuan have already come out, and there is no need for Hu Jintao to come out. Hu Jintao is the boss, and there is no need to come out.
It means that he may not be able to come out before, but now there is no need. I know that he may be worried. First of all, he thinks that Hu Jintao has the ability to defeat Xi Jinping. The 20th National Congress has failed. Secondly, whether he has physical conditions. I think there is. Everyone comes to this world with a mission. Hu Jintao’s life was too smooth, and he encountered Xi Jinping, the biggest disaster in his life, when he was over 70 years old. If Hu Jintao can survive, it proves that Deng Xiaoping did not make a mistake in his judgment. If Hu Jintao can’t make it, it proves that Deng Xiaoping made a mistake in choosing him. Han Xin was humiliated by being kicked in the crotch, and Deng Xiaoping had three ups and downs. These are not a big deal.
I think the evidence that Hu Jintao is fine is that Hu Jintao has found a successor, Zhou Jinxing. After Jiang and Hu practiced martial arts, the country will be rebuilt. Empress Wu is Zhou, and Jinxing is the morning star. It is said that there is a passage in the Tui Bei Tu, which can also be understood as Zhou Jinxing. You can find it yourself. Hu Jintao still has a task to complete, so he can’t die. He can’t die unless he knocks Xi Jinping down. I am not his health doctor, and I don’t know his physical condition. People live for a breath, and they can’t die until they complete their tasks. This is metaphysics.
This netizen asked, what level can Hu Haifeng reach in the future? Ministerial level. I am not endorsing Hu Jintao. If Hu Jintao is really shameless and promotes Hu Haifeng, it is not something I can predict. If it is just a political comment, then it is ministerial level, that is, to make a judgment based on the existing information. Hu Jintao already has a successor, a proxy, and that person is not Hu Haifeng. The ceiling of Hu Haifeng’s career is the ministerial level. Okay, thank you everyone.