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四中全会改组，下届军委名单。胡锦涛如何拿下习近平。最后的疑点被清除，所有的逻辑都捋顺了。何宏军的背景彻底搞清楚了
大家好，给大家分享一个曾节明老师的文章，
他说的好多也不准确。
为什么我觉得他说的不准确的，我还要分享呢
虽然我并不是完全赞同曾节明老师文章的全部观点
但是有一个部分说的特别精彩，所以我愿意分享给大家
随着中央军委委员、解放军政工部主任苗华被抓的消息爆出，最近关于中南海内斗的消息甚嚣尘上，主流的消息是习近平已经大权旁落，就等着在明年的四中全会上辞职了。
但也有非主流的消息渠道——油管上海口音的“某某某玩推特”，解读说：张又侠已被拿下，习近平重新夺回了军权，正在对军队实施新一轮大清洗。
这个某某某玩推特说的不对啊，张又侠已经出来了，而且张又侠也不是老板
那么真相到底怎么样？因为中南海是个黑洞，没有任何透明度可言，在缺乏证据的情况下，外人只能猜测：
首先，这世界上不存在在亲信大面积被抓的情况下，仍能卷土重来的政治例子。
我觉得，就是曾节明老师的这句话说的特别好。
最近一段时间以来，东部战区司令林向阳上将、解放军政工部主任苗华上将、军改办主任秦生祥上将、陆军总政委秦树桐上将、中央军委纪委专职副书记陈国强中将、中央军委委员、中央军委训管部第一部长黎火辉中将、陆军司令员张明才中将、海军司令李鹏程上将。。。密集落马，他们都是习近平的军中人马，甚至多人是东部战区解放军31集团军习近平的亲信，即所谓“福建帮”，他们的落马，不可能是习近平的意思，因为没有政客会如此大规模地砸烂自己的基本盘。
这些人的落马，更不是什么“贪腐”原因，因为中共高官早已无人不腐败，反腐，早就成党内斗争的最常用手段，尤其是在习近平上台后。
试问：解放军政工部主任苗华上将、军改办主任秦生祥上将、陆军总政委秦树桐上将、中央军委纪委专职副书记陈国强中将、中央军委委员、中央军委训管部第一部长黎火辉中将，是习近平监管和整肃军队的“四大金刚”，习近平怎么可能会把他们一锅端呢？
而且东部战区司令林向阳上将，不仅是“福建帮”，还是身挑习近平武统台湾重任的心腹大将，林向阳的落马，等于之前的“2027年之前”的武统方案白做了，习近平会和自己的威信过不去吗？
经过此轮大整肃，现在解放军高层中，习近平的亲信只剩何卫东一人，习近平在军内基本上已被架空，如此习近平还如何控制军队呢？
由此可以肯定：是习近平的军中政敌——张又侠所为。习近平在军中已经大权旁落。
不是张又侠，是胡锦涛
除了到底是张又侠还是胡锦涛扳倒习近平，之外的观点我都赞同。
油管自媒体、上海口音的“某某某玩推特”，把以上习近平军中亲信的大面积落马，解读成习近平已经“夺回军权”，是非常牵强附会的。
上海口音的“某某某玩推特”解读说，习近平已经“夺回军权”，主要依据是张又侠整个11月都没露面，很可能被抓了。
这个“依据”本身就牵强，因为政要一个月没露面，不等于就被抓了，之前习近平、蔡奇都有长时间没露面的例子。除了“某某某玩推特”之外，网上没有任何消息来源传张又侠被抓。
现在张又侠很明显已经出来了。
我回复一下这名网友，
何宏军早年是不是胡锦涛提拔的
不是啊。
何宏军是江泽民提拔的
这个确实是我分析的不对，
因为何宏军的简历没有公开，当时我只查到2012年左右新疆军区
摩步11师的师长是赵志丹，政委是何宏军
对应的新疆军区政委就是王建民，王建民是习近平老爸习仲勋的人。
但是今天查到一则新闻，2009年10月7日之前
何宏军已经是摩步11师的政委了。
王建民是2009年12月才去新疆军区担任政委。
新疆军区正军级单位还是副战区级，这都有两个派系。
如果何宏军在习仲勋的马仔王建民去新疆之前两个月已经担任摩步11师的政委的话
甚至更早
那么何宏军就是田修思提拔的，而不是王建民提拔的
田修思据说是郭伯雄的人，被王岐山抓了。
所以
习近平是江泽民提拔的，是无稽之谈
这习近平抓了多少江泽民的人啊
这也解答了我之前影片提到过的疑问
现在中国军队中只有徐才厚和范长龙的徒子徒孙
没有郭伯雄的徒子徒孙，
看样子郭伯雄的确是江泽民的人，只不过郭伯雄的徒子徒孙都被清洗掉了
唯一剩下的就是何宏军
那么
2014年，53岁的何宏军任中国人民解放军总政治部干部部副部长兼老干部局局长。
这一步就是贾廷安提拔，贾廷安当时是总政副主任
主任张阳应该是胡锦涛的人
也就是说何宏军每一步都应该是同一个派系的人提拔的才对。
所以现在整个逻辑都被捋顺了
因为之前我一直在说一锅端，习近平这些上将中将
都是胡锦涛在2024年6月底一锅端了。
为什么一锅端了之后，三中全会之前习近平又提拔了一个上将何宏军
原来何宏军不是习近平的人
而是江泽民的人
郭伯雄田修思贾廷安提拔的何宏军
2019年4月，何宏军升任中央军委政治工作部副主任。
这时候江泽民的马仔范长龙已经退休了，
2019年4月就是许其亮提拔的何宏军
许其亮是胡锦涛的人。
就证明最晚在2019年4月，江泽民和胡锦涛开始合作了
所以
何宏军身上有不少秘密
所以还原整个过程了。
2024年6月底，胡锦涛悍然发动断然措施，把习近平的上将中将一锅端了
2024年7月9日，何宏军晋升上将，这是习近平被胡锦涛拿枪顶着脑袋提拔的
2024年7月15日，习近平被胡锦涛按着开了三中全会
中国军委到底是什么情况呢？
李尚福和苗华已经被拿下了。
现在中国军委真正的权力结构应该是这样的
军委第一主席是胡锦涛
或者说军委主席是胡锦涛，军委第一副主席是习近平
这才是中国军委现在真正的权力结构
四中全会改组之后，应该是习近平，张又侠，何卫东全下
刘振立升任军委副主席
另外一个军委副主席大概率是张升民，小概率是李桥铭
国防部长应该是江泽民派系的南部战区司令吴亚男
吴亚男应该很容易猜
吴亚男和黄铭是江泽民的人，王强是胡锦涛的人
现在这三个人都听胡锦涛指挥
把他们三个人战区司令互换有什么意义呢？
不就是刷履历，要提拔吗？
美军太平洋司令见过了南部战区司令吴亚男
本来美军太平洋司令还想见东部战区司令林向阳
林向阳过春节可能就抓了，肯定不让见
让吴亚男去搞外交，就是要让吴亚男取代董军的位置
徐起零可能也是总参谋长的竞争人选
何宏军已经是政治工作部主任了
军纪委可能是徐德清
不然为什么从中部战区政委调到陆军政委呢
军事干部和政工干部两条线
好的，谢谢大家。
英文翻译
The Fourth Plenary Session of the Central Committee will reorganize the next CMC. How Hu Jintao will take down Xi Jinping. The last doubts have been cleared, and all the logic has been straightened out. He Hongjun’s background has been completely clarified.
Hello everyone, I would like to share with you an article by Mr. Zeng Jieming.
A lot of what he said is not accurate.
Why do I think what he said is inaccurate, and I still want to share it?
Although I do not completely agree with all the views of Mr. Zeng Jieming’s article,
there is one part that is particularly wonderful, so I am willing to share it with you.
With the news that Miao Hua, member of the Central Military Commission and director of the Political Work Department of the People’s Liberation Army, was arrested, the news about the internal struggle in Zhongnanhai has been rampant recently. The mainstream news is that Xi Jinping has lost power and is waiting to resign at the Fourth Plenary Session of the Central Committee next year.
But there are also non-mainstream news channels-the Shanghai-accented “someone playing Twitter” on YouTube, interpreting that: Zhang Youxia has been taken down, Xi Jinping has regained military power, and is implementing a new round of purges in the military.
What this someone playing Twitter said is not right, Zhang Youxia has come out, and Zhang Youxia is not the boss.
So what is the truth? Because Zhongnanhai is a black hole with no transparency, in the absence of evidence, outsiders can only speculate:
First, there is no political example in the world that a person can make a comeback when his confidants are arrested on a large scale.
I think this sentence by Mr. Zeng Jieming is particularly good.
In recent times, General Lin Xiangyang, commander of the Eastern Theater Command, General Miao Hua, director of the Political Work Department of the People’s Liberation Army, General Qin Shengxiang, director of the Military Reform Office, General Qin Shutong, political commissar of the Army, Lieutenant General Chen Guoqiang, full-time deputy secretary of the Central Military Commission Discipline Inspection Commission, Lieutenant General Li Huohui, member of the Central Military Commission and first director of the Central Military Commission Training and Management Department, Lieutenant General Zhang Mingcai, commander of the Army, and General Li Pengcheng, commander of the Navy… have all been sacked. They are all Xi Jinping’s military men, and many of them are Xi Jinping’s confidants in the 31st Group Army of the Eastern Theater Command, the so-called “Fujian Gang”. Their sack could not be Xi Jinping’s intention, because no politician would smash his base on such a large scale.
The fall of these people is not due to “corruption”, because all senior CCP officials have long been corrupt, and anti-corruption has long been the most common means of intra-party struggle, especially after Xi Jinping came to power.
Let me ask: General Miao Hua, Director of the Political Work Department of the People’s Liberation Army, General Qin Shengxiang, Director of the Military Reform Office, General Qin Shutong, General Political Commissar of the Army, Lieutenant General Chen Guoqiang, Full-time Deputy Secretary of the Central Military Commission Discipline Inspection Commission, and Lieutenant General Li Huohui, Member of the Central Military Commission and First Minister of the Central Military Commission Training and Management Department, are the “Four King Kongs” who supervise and purge the army by Xi Jinping. How could Xi Jinping take them all down?
Moreover, General Lin Xiangyang, Commander of the Eastern Theater Command, is not only a member of the “Fujian Gang”, but also a trusted general who shoulders the important task of Xi Jinping’s military reunification with Taiwan. Lin Xiangyang’s fall means that the previous “before 2027” military reunification plan has been in vain. Will Xi Jinping have trouble with his own prestige?
After this round of purges, Xi Jinping’s only confidant in the PLA’s senior leadership is He Weidong. Xi Jinping has basically been sidelined in the military. How can Xi Jinping control the military?
From this, we can be sure that it was done by Xi Jinping’s political enemy in the military, Zhang Youxia. Xi Jinping has lost power in the military.
It’s not Zhang Youxia, it’s Hu Jintao
Except for whether it was Zhang Youxia or Hu Jintao who brought down Xi Jinping, I agree with all other views.
YouTube self-media, “someone playing Twitter” with a Shanghai accent, interpreted the large-scale fall of Xi Jinping’s military confidants as Xi Jinping’s “regaining military power”, which is very far-fetched.
“Someone playing Twitter” with a Shanghai accent interpreted that Xi Jinping has “regained military power”, mainly based on the fact that Zhang Youxia did not show up in November, and it is very likely that he was arrested.
This “basis” itself is far-fetched, because a political figure not showing up for a month does not mean that he has been arrested. There have been examples of Xi Jinping and Cai Qi not showing up for a long time before. Except for “someone playing Twitter”, there is no source on the Internet that Zhang Youxia has been arrested.
Now Zhang Youxia has obviously come out.
I will reply to this netizen. Was He Hongjun promoted by Hu Jintao in his early years? No. He Hongjun was promoted by Jiang Zemin. This is indeed my wrong analysis. Because He Hongjun’s resume is not public, I only found that around 2012, the commander of the 11th Motorized Infantry Division of the Xinjiang Military Region was Zhao Zhidan, and the political commissar was He Hongjun. The corresponding political commissar of the Xinjiang Military Region was Wang Jianmin, who was a man of Xi Jinping’s father Xi Zhongxun. But today I found a news report that before October 7, 2009, He Hongjun was already the political commissar of the 11th Motorized Infantry Division. Wang Jianmin went to the Xinjiang Military Region as the political commissar in December 2009. Whether the Xinjiang Military Region is a full-army-level unit or a deputy theater-level unit, there are two factions. If He Hongjun had been the political commissar of the 11th Motorized Infantry Division two months after Xi Zhongxun’s henchmen went to Xinjiang, or even earlier, then He Hongjun was promoted by Tian Xiusi, not Wang Jianmin. Tian Xiusi was said to be Guo Boxiong’s man and was arrested by Wang Qishan. So, it is nonsense that Xi Jinping was promoted by Jiang Zemin. How many of Jiang Zemin’s men has Xi Jinping arrested? This also answers the question I mentioned in the previous video. Now there are only Xu Caihou and Fan Changlong’s people in the Chinese army, and no Guo Boxiong’s people. It seems that Guo Boxiong is indeed Jiang Zemin’s man, but Guo Boxiong’s people have been purged. The only one left is He Hongjun. So, in 2014, 53-year-old He Hongjun served as the deputy director of the Cadre Department of the General Political Department of the People’s Liberation Army and the director of the Veteran Cadre Bureau. This step was promoted by Jia Ting’an, who was the deputy director of the General Political Department at the time. Director Zhang Yang should be Hu Jintao’s man. In other words, He Hongjun should have been promoted by people from the same faction at every step. So now the whole logic is straightened out
Because I have been saying that Xi Jinping and other generals and lieutenant generals
were all taken down in one go by Hu Jintao at the end of June 2024.
Why did Xi Jinping promote another general He Hongjun before the Third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee after taking down all of them?
It turns out that He Hongjun is not Xi Jinping’s man
but Jiang Zemin’s man
He Hongjun was promoted by Guo Boxiong, Tian Xiusi and Jia Ting’an
In April 2019, He Hongjun was promoted to deputy director of the Political Work Department of the Central Military Commission.
At this time, Jiang Zemin’s henchman Fan Changlong had retired.
In April 2019, Xu Qiliang promoted He Hongjun
Xu Qiliang is Hu Jintao’s man.
It proves that Jiang Zemin and Hu Jintao began to cooperate at the latest in April 2019
So
He Hongjun has many secrets
So the whole process is restored.
At the end of June 2024, Hu Jintao launched a drastic measure to take down all of Xi Jinping’s generals and lieutenant generals.
On July 9, 2024, He Hongjun was promoted to general. This was Xi Jinping’s promotion by Hu Jintao with a gun to his head.
On July 15, 2024, Xi Jinping was forced by Hu Jintao to hold the Third Plenary Session of the 18th Central Committee.
What is the situation of the Chinese Military Commission?
Li Shangfu and Miao Hua have been taken down.
The real power structure of the CMC should be like this now
The first chairman of the CMC is Hu Jintao
Or the chairman of the CMC is Hu Jintao, and the first vice chairman of the CMC is Xi Jinping
This is the real power structure of the CMC now
After the reorganization of the Fourth Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee, it should be Xi Jinping, Zhang Youxia, and He Weidong
Liu Zhenli was promoted to vice chairman of the CMC
The other vice chairman of the CMC is likely to be Zhang Shengmin, and Li Qiaoming is less likely
The Minister of Defense should be Wu Yanan, the commander of the Southern Theater Command of Jiang Zemin’s faction
Wu Yanan should be easy to guess
Wu Yanan and Huang Ming are Jiang Zemin’s people, and Wang Qiang is Hu Jintao’s people
Now these three people are under the command of Hu Jintao
What is the point of exchanging the commanders of the three theaters?
Isn’t it just to brush up resumes and get promoted?
The US Pacific Commander met with the Southern Theater Commander Wu Yanan
Originally, the US Pacific Commander also wanted to meet with the Eastern Theater Commander Lin Xiangyang
Lin Xiangyang might have been arrested during the Spring Festival, so he was definitely not allowed to meet
Letting Wu Yanan engage in diplomacy is to replace Dong Jun
Xu Qiling may also be a candidate for the Chief of the General Staff
He Hongjun is already the Director of the Political Work Department
The Military Discipline Committee may be Xu Deqing
Otherwise, why was he transferred from the Central Theater Command Political Commissar to the Army Political Commissar
Two lines of military cadres and political cadres
Okay, thank you everyone.