公安部经侦局舆情分析周报2012年4月9日—2012年4月15日

公安部经侦局舆情分析周报

201249日—2012415

         

第一部分  周度舆情概述    2

第二部分   焦点舆情简析    3

一、商贸领域重点突出… 3

杭州金星破产案… 3

二、非法集资案件… 8

1、宋佃涛血案后续报道… 8

2、江阴农行支行长外逃案续… 9

3、“烂尾”项目现债务“黑洞”四兄集团上海折戟… 10

三、三大知识产权案… 11

1、茅台葡萄酒四产品包装设计被判抄袭侵权… 11

2、法国知名酒企侵犯中国商标知识产权判赔3000余万元… 13

3、飞人乔丹状告乔丹体育案… 14

第三部分   一周财经要闻    15

1、调查显示一季度我国企业经营状况下滑… 15

2、银行不良贷款水平或进入上行周期… 15

3、严打非法证券活动显效 法院宣判案件已超百起… 16

4、多地财政收入“告别”高增长 税收增速明显下降… 16

5、发改委:价格改革不能因物价上涨而停止… 16

6、世行下调今年中国经济增速预期至8.2%. 16

7、褐皮书确认美国经济延续升势油价上涨成复苏最大隐忧… 17

8、2015年我国网购市场规模将超3600亿美元… 17


第一部分  周度舆情概述

本监测周期,“新华数据”对800余家大陆及台港澳地区的主流平面媒体、300家大型网站及26家知名网站的论坛、博客进行了重点监测,共监测到公安部经侦局订制范围内舆情信息5379篇,其中包括各类案件报导5290篇,财经类报导39篇,破案会战专题报导28篇,经案时讯和预警信息等其他类信息22篇。(图一)

从国内重大经济犯罪案件的监测数据来看,共监测到相关新闻报导5290篇,其中商贸领域的案件受到媒体关注的程度最高,相关新闻报导数量为1988篇,包括70篇原载报导和1918篇转载报导,占犯罪案件相关资料37.6%;其次为非法集资领域的犯罪案件,相关新闻报导数量为796篇,包括27篇原载报导和769篇转载报导,占案件报导数量的15%;再次为知识产权领域的案件,相关新闻报导数量为788篇,包括49篇原载报导和739篇转载报导,占案件报导数量的14.9%。此关注度排名与上期相同。(图二)

综合来看,监测期内,媒体对经济犯罪案件的传播情况重点愈加集中,商贸领域、非法集资领域和知识产权领域连续两期成为媒体报导最为集中的区域,报导数量均在500篇以上。

关键词:四兄集团  茅台侵权  乔丹体育  房企破产  “非典型破产

第二部分   焦点舆情简析

一、 商贸领域重点突出

本期共监测到商贸领域的各类犯罪案件报导1988篇,其中包含一个大型焦点报导群,即杭州金星房地产公司破产案,共有报导1626篇,其中原载报导43篇,转载报导1626篇,占商贸领域报导总量的81.8%。相较于上期而言,本期媒体的关注度更为集中,其他案件未出现超过百篇的规模。

杭州金星破产案

案情简介

4月12日,杭州市余杭区人民法院就杭州金星房地产开发有限公司发布破产清算公告,这意味着金星房产正式成为此轮政策调控下首家破产的房地产开发企业。据了解,此前,该公司已被曝欠税2398万元,该起破产案由债权人申请提出。

杭州金星房地产开发公司为浙江中江控股集团旗下公司,其开发的房产项目为西城时代家园房产。目前该项目已经交付两期,三期后续项目已处停工状态,涉及380户业主。而按合同规定,三期交付时间本应为2011年12月31日。今年2月,杭州市地税局通报,金星房地产有限公司欠税2398万元,在杭州房产企业欠税榜中排名第二。

祸起民间借贷风暴  破产原因系母公司中江控股拖累所致

据网易财经原创报导,近年来,金星公司一直充当原母公司中江集团的取款机,其中项目部分土地已可能作为中江集团的抵押担保,另外本该专用于工程建设的商品房预售款,亦可能被中江集团挪作它用,去向不明,导致拖欠工程款、相关税费,开发、验收手续无法办理。

据悉,中江集团的主营业务为香精香料行业,2008年开始朝房地产、酒店等行业扩张。高息举债、盲目扩张,使得该公司没有逃过民间借贷风险的风暴。

因无法偿还高利贷,中江集团董事长俞中江在今年1月份,已主动向政府汇报资不抵债的情况并寻求保护。据估算,他的案子牵涉3家银行、上百家公司,把所有资产抵押变现之后,还有约30亿元借款还不上。有人称此事件为“2012浙江资金崩盘第一案”。房地产投资的接连失利,撕裂了中江集团原本已经紧绷的资金链,并将企业带上了穷途末路。

地产界风声鹤唳

根据《中国证券报》的报导,早在今年2月,曾开发杭州温州经济城的杭州瑞达实业投资有限公司已申请破产。业内人士透露,主动申请破产的房企不只是瑞达实业和金星房产。此外,不少房企资金链已紧绷到极致,正在破产边缘挣扎。

房企高管们纷纷表示,只要借贷的某个环节出现问题,就会波及房产公司。目前有民间借贷的房产公司都非常不安,以前房产利润足以支付借款利息,但现在基本不可能了。

在本轮房地产调控中,肯定会倒下一批中小房企,现在令人担心的是,继金星房产之后,下一个会是谁?

破产原因不是调控

411日、12日,《21世纪经济报导》和《证券日报》分别发表题为调控的第一块倒牌:金星破产资金链调查杭州金星成本轮调控首家破产房企报导,将调控房企破产的微妙关系引入舆论。当然,报导最终通过详实的实际数据否认了这一论调,但恐无法安抚悠悠众口,持此观点的民众仍然存在,尤其是地产界人士。

其实,在杭州金星房地产破产倒闭之前,北京、武汉、四川等地上千家房地产已经“消失”了。但是,国家楼市调控是为了促使房价合理回归,绝不是为了打垮房地产业。金星的破产虽然是在房地产调控持续造成的弱市格局下出现的,但这并不是一起典型的受调控影响破产的企业。

事实上,楼市调控的影响在这一个案中微乎其微。金星房地产开发的项目销售情况良好,在调控之前已全部售罄,未受限购、限贷这些政策影响,按要求需“专款专项”的预售款账户被公司挪用,直接导致了工程资金断裂,无法正常完工。

房企倒闭确实不能解决楼市问题,但是我们也不必放大中小房企倒闭停建的负面效应。

政府为企业破产买单

在金星房地产公司的调解中,余杭区政府最终为企业破产买单,虽不会承担债务,但承诺将垫资继续建设,帮助购房者办理“三证”。余杭区房管处书记称,西城时代家园不会成为烂尾楼,因为余杭区政府是一个敢于担责任的政府。

媒体观点

人民日报:不必夸大“小房企倒闭”的连锁效应

新京报:房企破产不可怕 执法不严才可怕

新浪网:房企该破产时就破产

中国青年报:对房地产企业破产不必幸灾乐祸

中国证券报:民间借贷压垮杭州地产商

国际金融报:房企破产仅是个案

中国建筑新闻网:金星房地产破产不是中国的雷曼事件

专家观点

上海中原研究咨询部总监宋会雍:与高利贷沾上边,搭进项目是迟早的事,如果没有楼市调控也许不会爆发得那么早,但也无改其本质。

同策咨询研究中心总监张宏伟:很多浙江中小企业都和房地产有千丝万缕的关系,只要救了中小型民营企业,也就间接救了当地的房地产市场。

21世纪不动产分析师黄河滔:金星房地产公司的个案不具有代表性。调研显示,房企虽然普遍反映资金紧张,但也没有到最紧的时候。屡屡创新高的库存量,也是受去年下半年以来市场低迷、去化困难的影响,放在正常的市场中,现在的库存量并非不可接受,甚至于会压垮房企。

《破产法》起草小组成员、中国政法大学研究生院副院长李曙光:企业有生有死,在成熟的市场经济中,以向法院申请破产的方式对企业画个句号这是常规路径。房企体面退出对行业发展有警示作用,有利于房地产行业健康发展。

上海易居房地产研究院副院长杨红旭:房企破产还会增加,但数量不会太多。而金星申请破产可以视作在持续的调控和市场低迷形势之下,开发企业经营和资金陷入困境的缩影。总体而言,少数企业困难非常大、处境艰难,但可以通过少拿地、少开工、降价卖房、转让项目等实现储备现金。

综合来看,对于杭州金星房地产公司的倒闭,业界舆论比较一致的看法是,这则消息给目前本已寒冷的楼市蒙上了一层阴霾。相对于房地产界人士的惶恐,网民的态度相对淡然,甚至持乐观态度。有新浪微博网友甚至认为房企破产有利于使房价回归合理价位。腾讯微博的下游行业人士则在呼吁,房地产开发企业的不稳定性直接会影响现阶段房地产市场运营状况,紧接而来的就会出现房地产开发商的信任危机,出现这种情况也许会提升二手房的销售空间!更多网民则冷静客观的看待此事,有网友精辟的发表评论,中国房地产企业重新洗牌,意料中的事情。市场规则就是弱肉强食,国家调控政策是导火索而已,如果国家不调控,这种局面也是迟早要来。

对此事件加以原载报导的媒体包括《人民日报》《经济参考报》《北京青年报》《21世纪经济报导》《每日经济新闻》《第一财经日报》《北京商报》《今日早报》《东方早报》、中国新闻网、网易财经频道、中国广播网和新浪网等25家平面媒体和9家网络媒体。原载报导数量共计43篇,囊括了众多国内权威大众媒体和财经类媒体以及房地产行业媒体,形成了一个较大规模的报导焦点。

二、非法集资案件

本期共监测到非法集资领域案件的相关报导796篇,其中原载报导27篇,转载报导769篇。本期非法集资领域内的焦点主要集中于4篇原载报导,分别为49日,《中国经济周刊》的谁杀死了宋佃涛:一桩民间借贷引发的血案410日,《21世纪经济报导》的一个支行行长的民间借贷链条:过桥贷款、高息理财作诱饵413日,《第一财经日报》的烂尾项目现债务 黑洞四兄集团上海折戟413日,《现代快报》的南京一女老板借走数亿元后失踪 警方已介入调查。该4篇原载共引发转载报导754篇,占非法集资领域报导总量的94.7%(图三)

1、 宋佃涛血案后续报导

继第一期(3.15-3.25)报告关注红顶鲁商血案之后,49日,权威媒体《中国经济周刊》又一次以实地调查为基础,发表了原载报导并引发了近300篇的转载量。报导详细的介绍了红顶鲁商宋佃涛的为人作风、运作手法和案件的进一步发展情况。

据悉,2011年宋佃涛被选为桓台县第十三届政协委员并当选为政协常委;身兼桓台县浦发投资有限公司(下称“桓台浦发”)、山东群晟股权投资管理有限公司的法人代表。知情者透露,宋佃涛平日办事低调、待人客气,其于2010年1月29日注册的桓台浦发公司实际是一家吸收公众存款用于从事高利贷的非法企业。正是由于追讨去年发放的一笔5000万的高利贷导致在江苏被人谋杀。

《中国经济周刊》的记者在调查中知悉,江苏警方已追获赃款大约4000万元。值得一提的是,宋案在江苏公安系统内部被视为一个较为复杂也颇具戏剧性的案件。曾有警员希望把此案的刑侦过程写成办案纪实向《人民公安》等法制类媒体投稿,但最终被内部叫停。目前,宋案的刑事侦查工作(一个月)已经接近尾声,将进入预审阶段(两个月),如不出意外将在三四个月后进行刑事起诉并在南京市进行审判。那时案情才会较为完整地大白于天下。

2、 江阴农行支行长外逃案续

此案件已连续三期受到全国各类媒体的集中报导,本期又引发了100余篇报导的焦点规模,令人无法忽视。一直追踪此事的《21世纪经济报导》又于410日发表原载,揭露了犯罪嫌疑人孙峰以过桥贷款、高息理财作诱饵的犯罪手段。

所谓过桥资金即企业将有一笔贷款到期没有资金偿还,而下一笔贷款必须偿还这笔贷款后才能批下来,从而需要用来应急的借入资金。过桥资金多来自民间借贷,利息最高可达月息6分以上。两笔(一笔到期、一笔新增)贷款之间的过渡时间,便为过桥期限。

在当地企业主看来,做“过桥”的民间借贷一般比较安全,孙锋作为银行行长又掌握大量的企业信息,因此比较可靠。然后孙峰并没有像承诺的那样投放资金,而是将非法融来的资金投向了过桥、炒期货以及其他形式的民间借贷三个方向,进而于去年年底全家外逃。(图四)

总的来看,经过上期大规模的密集报导,该案在未有官方信息的情况很难再挖掘出更深层次的看点了。追踪舆论热点是《21世纪经济报导》的惯用手法,此篇报导虽引发了不小的转载行情,但就信息价值而言与引发的舆论规模不相匹配。对此加以转载的媒体包括搜狐、网易、腾讯和新浪四大门户网站以及和讯网、金融界、中证网等财经类媒体。

3、“烂尾”项目现债务“黑洞”四兄集团上海折戟

“如果一项投资,大部分人都看好,大部分人都想去参与,那么,基本上它的盈利空间就很小了;反之,大部分人都不看好,很有可能是蕴含着巨大商机。”这句话中被“大部分人都不看好”却“蕴含着巨大商机”的投资,指的是收购“烂尾”商业项目,重新装修再分割散售。

一年前还踌躇满志的浙江四兄实业集团有限公司董事长李卫星,本以为可以在上海商业地产界“化腐朽为神奇”,如今却倒在了自己设计的危险游戏中。3月7日,他因涉嫌非法吸收公众存款及涉嫌合同欺诈,已被上海市经侦总队“带走”。

据知情人士透露,四兄集团去年从上海兴宇集团有限公司收购了中华商城、上海滩商厦、兴宇大酒店以及金山义乌小商品城四个处于“烂尾”状态的项目。原本计划重新装修、布置这几幢“烂尾楼”,分割后对外散售,然而,部分项目未能按期开业引发业主纷纷退铺。四兄集团在收购过程中对拟收购企业的或有债务预计不足,导致去年底企业资金运转困难,对外偿债出现困难。

413日,《第一财经日报》对此进行了原载报导,新浪网、搜狐网、中国网、凤凰网以及经济参考报网站进行了转载,365地产家居网、北京写字楼信息网、中国城市建设网及焦点房地产等房地产行业类媒体也给予了关注。

三、三大知识产权案

监测期内,我们共监测到侵犯知识产权案件报导共788篇,其中包括原载报导49篇,转载报导739篇。茅台葡萄酒侵权案、飞人乔丹状告乔丹体育案和法国卡斯特兄弟侵犯中国商标知识产权案成为三大焦点,报导数量共574篇,占知识产权类报导的72.8%

1、茅台葡萄酒四产品包装设计被判抄袭侵权

经过法院公开审理,由茅台集团董事长袁仁国亲自担任法人代表的贵州茅台酒厂昌黎葡萄酒业有限公司侵权案浮出水面:茅台葡萄酒公司生产的 “茅台-国尊”、“茅台-橡木桶”、“茅台-小产区”、“茅台-贵宾楼”四种产品包装设计方案系抄袭驰誉国际广告(北京)有限公司设计。

2011年11月25日,北京市西城区人民法院一审判定茅台葡萄酒公司、茅台葡萄酒公司运营商全世好贸易有限公司侵权,要求被告茅台葡萄酒公司、全世好公司停止侵权行为,并赔偿受害公司驰誉公司共计24万元损失。近日,北京市第一中级人民法院下达了终审判决,维持一审原判。

据了解,2009年,驰誉公司与茅台葡萄酒公司、全世好公司进行了合作洽谈,驰誉公司为对方量身定做了包装设计方案,不过三方未能最终达成协议。在接触过程中,驰誉公司的原设计方案遭泄密并被仿制。

对于这一结果,双方都不满意。茅台坚持认为该案只是合同纠纷,不存在侵权;驰誉公司则认为24万元的赔偿金额过低,与200万元的诉讼赔偿金额相差甚远。

据国际金融报报导,对于最终判决,驰誉公司运营总监丁涛表示:“虽然未达到理想结果,但也算得到了一个真相,只是维权的道路太艰辛。”

综合媒体观点,我国目前的侵权赔偿基本上采取填坑式的补救措施,违法成本低使得法律的震慑力不明显,特别是在知识产权侵权问题上尤其明显,我国应加大对违法行为的惩处力度。该事件共引发关注报导241篇,《每日经济新闻》《证券日报》和《国际金融报》等发布了原载报导。

2、法国一知名酒企侵犯中国商标知识产权被判赔偿3000余万元

中国浙江省温州市中级法院近日作出一审判决,判令法国卡斯特兄弟股份有限公司及其中国经销商停止使用“卡斯特”商标,并赔偿上海班提酒业公司3373万元人民币(约合530万美元)。至此,这起历时六年,中国葡萄酒行业针对外国企业侵权的知识产权官司,以中国“卡斯特”商标持有人一审获胜。

据悉,温州商人李道之是上海班提酒业公司和上海卡斯特酒业公司董事长。上海卡斯特是在原上海班提的基础上新组建的一家专业品牌运营公司,同时也是“卡斯特”商标合法授权销售和使用的机构。自从1998年开始在进口葡萄酒上使用“卡斯特”的名称并于2000年获得商标注册核准。2012年1月,上海卡斯特酒业又经中国和法国政府批准,收购了法国波尔多地区的三个酒庄,正式推出卡斯特大师系列中高档葡萄酒并出口到中国等国家。

法国卡斯特兄弟股份有限公司成立于2005年,是法国葡萄酒生产商之一。从2006年开始,在中国大量销售侵害“卡斯特”商标的葡萄酒。李道之与法国卡斯特兄弟股份有限公司针对“卡斯特”的商标的纷争就此展开。

跨国公司在中国涉嫌商标侵权得到确认,并受到相应处罚,无疑对在华大力拓展业务的其他国际企业具有借鉴和警示意义。该事件有助于中国企业普及知识产权保护意识,让企业尊重知识产权和创新成果,有利于扭转目前业界存在较为普遍的知识产权侵权行为,包括外国企业在华侵犯知识产权的行为。

对此事件加以原载报导的媒体包括新华网、《新华每日电讯》、人民网、中国新闻网、《都市快报》《钱江晚报》和《今日早报》等,报导数量近200篇。

3、飞人乔丹状告乔丹体育案

前不久,美国篮球巨星迈克尔·乔丹状告中国体育品牌乔丹一案,引发媒体热议。在乔丹的律师将诉状递交到上海市第二中级人民法院,并得到受理后,此事一直没有进展。4月15日,乔丹要求5000万人民币赔偿,再度成为媒体关注的焦点。

乔丹是今年3月初向上海市第二中级人民法院递交起诉书的,3月5日,乔丹体育向媒体发表声明,确认收到了应诉通知,这表明乔丹状告乔丹体育一事,已经进入了司法程序。

据悉,5000万元对于一个姓名权案件来说,目标金额算是较高。一般情况下,原告方在确定要求金额的时候可能会参考被告方因所谓侵害行为而获利的金额。但目前民法通则等姓名权相关法律法规,都没有对姓名权损失赔偿金额的计算方法做出规定。

虽然公众普遍认为,乔丹体育有凭借飞人乔丹的知名度打擦边球的嫌疑,但专家和律师普遍认为,根据我国现行相关法律的规定,乔丹想要胜诉并不容易,毕竟乔丹体育在国内是合法的商标拥有者,而且乔丹方面也拿不出有力证据来证明,乔丹体育所获得的利益和乔丹有直接关系。对于这类案件,法院的自由裁量空间比较大,即便侵权成立,具体的判决金额也可能与原告方的要求有较大差距。

综合来看,监测期内,媒体对经济犯罪案件的传播情况重点愈加集中,商贸领域、非法集资领域和知识产权领域连续两期成为媒体报导最为集中的区域,报导数量均在500篇以上。

第三部分   一周财经要闻

1、调查显示一季度我国企业经营状况下滑

中国企业家调查系统14日发布的《一季度企业经营状况、困难及对策2012一季度千户企业经营状况快速调查报告》显示,一季度企业经营状况比2011年有所下滑,企业盈利空间缩小。企业经营者对二季度企业经营状况预期谨慎乐观,预计盈利将有所好转。调查表明,当前我国多数企业存在产能过剩,特别是纺织、造纸、化纤、非金属制品、有色金属等行业产能过剩问题较为严重;同时企业经营者预计二季度招工难度将依然较大。

2、银行不良贷款水平或进入上行周期

多家商业银行2011年年报显示,去年四季度商业银行的不良贷款余额出现环比上升。多位专家表示,受经济增速放缓、企业偿债能力下降等因素影响,我国银行业不良贷款水平正处于周期性底部,预计将进入上行周期,商业银行不良贷款率将维持在2%-3%左右,外向型经济地区和中小金融机构或更易受不良贷款水平上升的冲击。

3、严打非法证券活动显效 法院宣判案件已超百起

目前非法发行股票、非法销售股票等违法犯罪活动的发生和蔓延得到有效控制。截至去年年底,各级法院宣判的此类案件已超过百起,200余名罪犯被绳之以法,其中数名罪犯更是被施以重典以集资诈骗罪被判处无期徒刑。

4、多地财政收入“告别”高增长 税收增速明显下降

地陆续披露的今年首季财政收支数据显示,广东、江苏等经济总量大省及上海、天津、重庆等直辖市的财政收入同比增幅出现较大幅度回落。多数地方财政收入告别高增长,同比增幅回落至10%左右。

 5、发改委:价格改革不能因物价上涨而停止

国家发展改革委副主任彭森日前在《求是》杂志上发表文章称,推进价格改革必须把握好改革的时机、节奏和力度,既要考虑经济发展的需求,也要考虑到社会承受能力;既不能因价格总水平上涨就停止改革,也不能因为价格总水平比较平稳就集中推出改革措施。

6、世行下调今年中国经济增速预期至8.2%

世界银行12日在北京发布的《中国经济季报》预计,中国今年国内生产总值(GDP)增长8.2%,较该行此前公布的8.4%有小幅下调。因明年全球经济会有所好转,报告预计明年中国GDP增速为8.6%,高于此前公布的8.3%。报告认为,中国经济虽然处于逐渐放缓趋势,但中国有足够的政策空间应对下行风险。周期性疲软将是近期中国面临的主要问题。

7、褐皮书确认美国经济延续升势油价上涨成复苏最大隐忧

美联储在11日发布的《当前经济环境报告》(简称“褐皮书”)中表示,12家地方联储所在地区的经济在2月中旬至3月底期间继续维持增长势头,与今年1月份和2月份的两份报告中的表述一致。不同的是,在最新报告中美联储反复提及对油价上涨的担心。

8、2015年我国网购市场规模将超3600亿美元

波士顿咨询公司于4月12日发布最新报告显示,在网民数量不断增加以及消费者对电子商务的接受程度逐步提高的推动下,到2015年,中国的网络零售销售额将增长两倍,达到3600亿美元以上。报告指出,目前中国的网络购物者人数达到1.93亿,高于美国的1.7亿。从2009年至2011年,在网上购物的互联网用户比例已从28%上升至36%,至2015年有望达到47%,电子商务在零售总额占比可能将达8%。

(完)

相关图书

《中國警察文件彙編1:公安部部分文件》

本文链接

公安部经侦局舆情分析周报2012年4月9日—2012年4月15日

相关链接

关于暂停第三批涉嫌违法犯罪通讯码号网络账号的通知

公安部十一局关于暂停第五批涉嫌违法犯罪通讯码号网络账号的通知 

公安部经侦局舆情监测分析周报(2012年3月15日至3月25日)

公安部经侦局舆情分析周报2012年3月26日—2012年4月8日

英文机翻

Public Opinion Analysis Weekly Report of the Economic Investigation Bureau of the Ministry of Public Security, April 9, 2012-April 15, 2012
Public Opinion Analysis Weekly Report of the Economic Investigation Bureau of the Ministry of Public Security

April 9, 2012 – April 15, 2012

 Table of contents

Part I Overview of Weekly Public Opinion 2

Part II Brief Analysis of Focus Public Opinion 3

  1. Highlights in the field of commerce… 3

Hangzhou Venus Bankruptcy Case… 3

  1. Illegal fund-raising cases… 8
  2. Follow-up report on the Song Diantao murder… 8
  3. The escape case of Jiangyin Agricultural Bank branch chief continued… 9
  4. The “unfinished” project is now in debt “black hole” and the four brothers’ group collapsed in Shanghai… 10
  5. Three major intellectual property cases… 11
  6. The packaging design of four Moutai wine products was sentenced to plagiarism and infringement… 11
  7. A well-known French wine company was awarded more than 30 million yuan in damages for infringing on Chinese trademark intellectual property rights… 13
  8. Air Jordan sued Jordan Sports… 14

Part Three Weekly Financial Highlights 15

  1. The survey shows that the operating conditions of Chinese enterprises have declined in the first quarter… 15
  2. The level of non-performing loans of banks may enter an upward cycle… 15
  3. The crackdown on illegal securities activities has been effective, and the court has declared more than 100 cases… 16
  4. Fiscal revenues in many places bid farewell to high growth rates, and the growth rate of tax revenues dropped significantly… 16
  5. Development and Reform Commission: Price reform cannot be stopped due to rising prices… 16
  6. The World Bank lowered its forecast for China’s economic growth this year to 8.2%. 16
  7. The Beige Book confirms that the U.S. economy continues to rise. Rising oil prices are the biggest concern for recovery… 17
  8. In 2015, the scale of my country’s online shopping market will exceed US$360 billion… 17

Part I Weekly Public Opinion Overview
In this monitoring cycle, “Xinhua Data” conducted key monitoring on more than 800 mainstream print media in mainland China, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Macao, 300 large-scale websites, and forums and blogs of 26 well-known websites. There are 5,379 pieces of public opinion information within the scope, including 5,290 pieces of various case reports, 39 pieces of financial and economic reports, 28 pieces of special reports on the battle of solving crimes, and 22 pieces of other types of information such as case news and early warning information. (Figure 1)

From the monitoring data of domestic major economic crime cases, a total of 5,290 relevant news reports were monitored. Among them, cases in the commercial and trade field received the highest degree of media attention. The number of related news reports was 1,988, including 70 original reports and 1,918 Reprinted reports accounted for 37.6% of the relevant information on criminal cases; followed by criminal cases in the field of illegal fund-raising, the number of related news reports was 796, including 27 original reports and 769 reprinted reports, accounting for 15% of the number of case reports; For cases in the field of intellectual property, the number of related news reports was 788, including 49 original reports and 739 reprinted reports, accounting for 14.9% of the number of case reports. This attention ranking is the same as the previous issue. (Figure II)

On the whole, during the monitoring period, the media’s dissemination of economic crime cases became more and more concentrated. The fields of commerce and trade, illegal fund-raising, and intellectual property became the areas with the most concentrated media reports for two consecutive periods, with the number of reports exceeding 500.

Keywords: Four Brothers Group, Moutai infringement, Jordan Sports, bankruptcy of real estate companies, “atypical” bankruptcy

Part II Brief Analysis of Focus Public Opinion

  1. Highlights in the field of commerce and trade
    In this issue, a total of 1,988 reports on various criminal cases in the commercial and trade field were monitored, including a large-scale focus report group, that is, the Hangzhou Jinxing Real Estate Company bankruptcy case, with a total of 1,626 reports, including 43 original reports and 1,626 reprinted reports, accounting for 81.8% of the total reports in the field of business and trade. Compared with the previous issue, the attention of the media in this issue is more concentrated, and there are no other cases with a scale of more than 100 articles.

Hangzhou Venus Bankruptcy Case
Case brief

On April 12, the People’s Court of Yuhang District, Hangzhou City issued a bankruptcy liquidation announcement on Hangzhou Jinxing Real Estate Development Co., Ltd., which means that Jinxing Real Estate has officially become the first bankrupt real estate development company under this round of policy regulation. It is understood that the company has been exposed to owe 23.98 million yuan in taxes before, and the bankruptcy case was filed by the creditor.

Hangzhou Jinxing Real Estate Development Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary company of Zhejiang Zhongjiang Holding Group, and the real estate project it develops is Xicheng Times Home Real Estate. At present, two phases of the project have been delivered, and the follow-up project of the third phase has been suspended, involving 380 owners. According to the contract, the delivery time of the third phase should have been December 31, 2011. In February of this year, the Hangzhou Municipal Local Taxation Bureau notified that Jinxing Real Estate Co., Ltd. owed 23.98 million yuan in taxes, ranking second in the tax arrears list of real estate companies in Hangzhou.

The reason for the bankruptcy of the private lending storm was caused by the drag of the parent company Zhongjiang Holdings

According to Netease Finance’s original report, in recent years, Jinxing Company has been serving as the cash machine of the former parent company Zhongjiang Group, and part of the land of the project may be used as a mortgage guarantee for Zhongjiang Group. It was misappropriated by Zhongjiang Group for other purposes, and its whereabouts are unknown, resulting in arrears of project funds, related taxes and fees, and failure to handle development and acceptance procedures.

It is reported that the main business of Zhongjiang Group is the flavor and fragrance industry. In 2008, it began to expand into real estate, hotels and other industries. High-interest borrowing and blind expansion have prevented the company from escaping the storm of private lending risks.

Due to the inability to repay the usury loan, Yu Zhongjiang, the chairman of Zhongjiang Group, had voluntarily reported the insolvency situation to the government in January this year and sought protection. According to estimates, his case involved 3 banks and hundreds of companies. After all assets were mortgaged and liquidated, there was still about 3 billion yuan in outstanding loans. Some people called this incident “the first case of Zhejiang capital collapse in 2012”. The successive failures in real estate investment tore apart the already tight capital chain of Zhongjiang Group and brought the company to a dead end.

The real estate industry is jittery

According to a report by China Securities Journal, as early as February this year, Hangzhou Ruida Industrial Investment Co., Ltd., which had developed Hangzhou Wenzhou Economic City, had filed for bankruptcy. According to industry insiders, Ruida Industrial and Jinxing Real Estate are not the only real estate companies that have voluntarily filed for bankruptcy. In addition, the capital chain of many real estate companies has been stretched to the extreme, and they are struggling on the verge of bankruptcy.

Real estate executives have expressed that as long as there is a problem in a certain part of the loan, it will affect the real estate company. At present, real estate companies with private loans are very disturbed. In the past, the profits of real estate were enough to pay the interest on loans, but now it is basically impossible.

In the current round of real estate regulation, a group of small and medium real estate enterprises will definitely fall down. What is worrying now is, who will be the next one after Jinxing real estate?

Bankruptcy not due to regulation

On April 11th and 12th, “21st Century Business Herald” and “Securities Daily” respectively published the titles “The First Down Card of Regulation: Jinxing’s Bankruptcy Fund Chain Investigation” and “Hangzhou Jinxing’s Cost Round Regulation of the First Bankrupt Real Estate Enterprise ” report, which introduced the delicate relationship between “regulation” and “bankruptcy of real estate companies” into public opinion. Of course, the report finally denied this argument through detailed actual data, but it may not be able to appease the public. There are still people who hold this view, especially those in the real estate industry.

In fact, before Hangzhou Jinxing Real Estate went bankrupt, thousands of real estate properties in Beijing, Wuhan, Sichuan and other places had “disappeared”. However, the national property market regulation is to promote a reasonable return of housing prices, not to destroy the real estate industry. Although the bankruptcy of Jinxing appeared under the weak market situation caused by the continuous regulation of real estate, it was not a typical company that went bankrupt due to the regulation.

In fact, the impact of property market regulation is minimal in this case. The sales of the projects developed by Jinxing Real Estate were in good condition, and they were all sold out before the regulation. They were not affected by policies such as purchase restrictions and loan restrictions. Unable to complete properly.

The collapse of real estate companies does not solve the problem of the real estate market, but we do not need to magnify the negative effects of the closure of small and medium-sized real estate companies.

Government pays for bankruptcy

In the mediation of Jinxing Real Estate Company, the Yuhang District Government finally paid for the bankruptcy of the company. Although it will not bear the debt, it promises to advance funds to continue construction and help buyers apply for the “three certificates.” The secretary of the Yuhang District Housing Management Office said that Xicheng Times Home will not become an unfinished building, because the Yuhang District Government is a government that dares to take responsibility.

media opinion

People’s Daily: There is no need to exaggerate the chain effect of “small real estate enterprises going bankrupt”

Beijing News: Bankruptcy of real estate companies is not terrible, but lax law enforcement is terrible

Sina.com: Real estate companies go bankrupt when they should go bankrupt

China Youth Daily: There is no need to gloat over the bankruptcy of real estate companies

China Securities Journal: Private lending crushes real estate developers in Hangzhou

International Finance News: Bankruptcy of real estate companies is only a case

China Architecture News: The bankruptcy of Jinxing Real Estate is not China’s Lehman incident

expert’s point

Song Huiyong, Director of Shanghai Zhongyuan Research and Consulting Department: It will be a matter of time before the project gets involved in usury. If there is no real estate market regulation, it may not break out so early, but its essence will not be changed.

Zhang Hongwei, Director of Tongce Consulting Research Center: Many small and medium-sized enterprises in Zhejiang are closely related to real estate. As long as small and medium-sized private enterprises are saved, the local real estate market will be indirectly saved.

21st Century Real Estate Analyst Huang Hetao: The case of Jinxing Real Estate Company is not representative. The survey shows that although real estate companies generally report that funds are tight, they have not reached the tightest time. The record high inventory is also affected by the market downturn since the second half of last year and the difficulty of selling. In a normal market, the current inventory is not unacceptable, and it will even overwhelm real estate companies.

Li Shuguang, member of the drafting team of the “Bankruptcy Law” and deputy dean of the Graduate School of China University of Political Science and Law: Enterprises have life and death. In a mature market economy, it is the normal way to end the enterprise by applying to the court for bankruptcy. The decent exit of real estate companies has a warning effect on the development of the industry and is conducive to the healthy development of the real estate industry.

Yang Hongxu, vice president of Shanghai E-House Real Estate Research Institute: The number of bankruptcies of real estate companies will increase, but the number will not be too many. Jinxing’s application for bankruptcy can be regarded as the epitome of the difficulties in the operation and capital of development companies under the continuous regulation and market downturn. Generally speaking, a small number of enterprises are in great difficulties and are in a difficult situation, but they can reserve cash by acquiring less land, starting less construction, selling houses at lower prices, and transferring projects.

On the whole, with regard to the collapse of Hangzhou Jinxing Real Estate Company, the public opinion in the industry is relatively unanimous. Compared with the panic of people in the real estate industry, the attitude of netizens is relatively indifferent, even optimistic. Some Sina Weibo netizens even believe that the bankruptcy of real estate companies will help bring housing prices back to a reasonable price. People in the downstream industry on Tencent Weibo are appealing that the instability of real estate development companies will directly affect the current operating conditions of the real estate market, followed by a crisis of trust in real estate developers, which may increase Sale space for pre-owned homes! More netizens looked at the matter calmly and objectively. Some netizens commented incisively. The reshuffle of Chinese real estate companies was expected. The rules of the market are the law of the jungle, and the national regulatory policy is just the fuse. If the country does not regulate, this situation will come sooner or later.

The media that made original reports on this incident include People’s Daily, Economic Information Daily, Beijing Youth Daily, 21st Century Business Herald, Daily Economic News, China Business News, Beijing Business Daily, Today Morning Post 25 print media and 9 online media such as “Oriental Morning Post”, China News Network, NetEase Finance Channel, China Broadcasting Network and Sina.com. A total of 43 original reports were published, including many domestic authoritative mass media, financial media and real estate industry media, forming a relatively large-scale report focus.

  1. Illegal fund-raising cases
    In this issue, a total of 796 reports related to illegal fund-raising cases were monitored, including 27 original reports and 769 reprinted reports. The focus of this issue in the field of illegal fund-raising is mainly focused on four original reports, namely April 9, “Who Killed Song Diantao: A Murder Case Caused by Private Lending” in “China Economic Weekly” and April 10. , “21st Century Business Herald” “A branch president’s private lending chain: bridge loans, high-interest financial management as bait”, April 13, “First Financial Daily” “Unfinished projects are now debt black hole four brothers Group collapsed in Shanghai” and “Modern Express” on April 13, “A female boss in Nanjing disappeared after borrowing hundreds of millions of yuan, and the police have intervened in the investigation.” The 4 original reports triggered a total of 754 reposted reports, accounting for 94.7% of the total reports in the field of illegal fund-raising. (Picture 3)
  2. Follow-up report on the Song Diantao murder case
    After the first issue (3.15-3.25) of the report focused on the “Red Top Lu Merchant Blood Case”, on April 9, the authoritative media “China Economic Weekly” once again published the original report based on on-the-spot investigations and triggered nearly 300 The number of reprints of articles. The report introduced in detail the style, operation methods and further development of the case of Song Diantao, a red-top Lu businessman.

It is reported that in 2011, Song Diantao was elected as a member of the 13th CPPCC in Huantai County and elected as a member of the Standing Committee of the CPPCC; he is also a member of Huantai Pufa Investment Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as “Huantai Pufa”) and Shandong Qunsheng Equity Investment Management Co., Ltd. legal representative. According to insiders, Song Diantao usually keeps a low profile and treats people politely. The Huantai Pudong Development Company, which he registered on January 29, 2010, is actually an illegal enterprise that absorbs public deposits for usurious loans. It was because of the recovery of a 50 million usury loan issued last year that led to his murder in Jiangsu.

The reporter of “China Economic Weekly” learned during the investigation that Jiangsu police have recovered about 40 million yuan in stolen money. It is worth mentioning that the Song case is regarded as a relatively complicated and dramatic case within the Jiangsu public security system. Some police officers once hoped to write the criminal investigation process of the case as a case report and submit it to the “People’s Public Security” and other legal media, but they were eventually stopped internally. At present, the criminal investigation of the Song case (one month) is nearing completion and will enter the pre-trial stage (two months). If there is no accident, the criminal prosecution will be carried out in three or four months and the trial will be held in Nanjing. Only then will the facts of the case be fully revealed to the world.

  1. The escape case of Jiangyin Agricultural Bank branch chief continued
    This case has been intensively reported by various media across the country for three consecutive issues, and this issue has triggered more than 100 reports. The scale of the focus cannot be ignored. The 21st Century Business Herald, which has been tracking the matter, published the original article on April 10, exposing the criminal method of the suspect Sun Feng using bridge loans and high-interest financial management as bait.

The so-called bridging funds mean that the company will have a loan that has no funds to repay when it expires, and the next loan must be repaid before it can be approved, so it needs to borrow funds for emergency. Most of the bridge funds come from private loans, and the highest interest rate can reach more than 6 cents per month. The transition period between two loans (one due and one new) is the bridging period.

From the perspective of local business owners, “bridge” private lending is generally safer. As the president of the bank, Sun Feng has a lot of corporate information, so it is relatively reliable. Then Sun Feng did not invest the funds as promised, but invested the illegally raised funds in three directions: crossing the bridge, speculating in futures and other forms of private lending, and then his family fled at the end of last year. (Figure 4)

In general, after the large-scale and intensive reports in the previous issue, it is difficult to dig out deeper points of interest in the case without official information. Tracking the hot spots of public opinion is the usual method of “21st Century Business Herald”. Although this report has triggered a lot of reprints, it does not match the scale of public opinion it has aroused in terms of information value. The media that reproduced it include Sohu, NetEase, Tencent, and Sina, four major portal websites, as well as financial and economic media such as Hexun.com, Financial Circle, and China Securities Network.

  1. The “unfinished” project is now in debt “black hole” and the four brothers’ group collapsed in Shanghai

“If most people are optimistic about an investment and most people want to participate, then basically its profit margin is very small; on the contrary, most people are not optimistic about it, and it is likely to contain huge business opportunities .” In this sentence, the investment that “most people are not optimistic about” but “contains huge business opportunities” refers to the acquisition of “unfinished” commercial projects, which are refurbished and then sold separately.

Li Weixing, chairman of Zhejiang Sixiong Industrial Group Co., Ltd., who was full of ambition a year ago, thought he could “turn decay into magic” in Shanghai’s commercial real estate industry, but now he fell into a dangerous game designed by himself. On March 7, he was “taken away” by the Shanghai Economic Investigation Corps on suspicion of illegally absorbing public deposits and contract fraud.

According to people familiar with the matter, the Four Brothers Group acquired China Mall, Shanghai Beach Commercial Building, Xingyu Hotel and Jinshan Yiwu Small Commodity City from Shanghai Xingyu Group Co., Ltd. last year. It was originally planned to redecorate and furnish these “unfinished buildings” and sell them separately after division. However, some projects failed to open on schedule, causing the owners to withdraw their shops one after another. During the acquisition process, the Four Brothers Group underestimated the contingent debts of the companies to be acquired, which led to difficulties in the operation of funds and difficulties in repaying external debts at the end of last year.

On April 13th, “First Financial Daily” made an original report on this, which was reprinted by Sina.com, Sohu.com, China.com, Phoenix.com and Economic Information Daily. Real estate industry media such as City Construction Network and Focus Real Estate also paid attention.

  1. Three major intellectual property cases

During the monitoring period, we monitored a total of 788 reports on intellectual property infringement cases, including 49 original reports and 739 reprinted reports. Moutai wine infringement case, Air Jordan’s lawsuit against Jordan Sports, and France Castel Brothers’ infringement of Chinese trademark intellectual property rights became the three major focuses, with a total of 574 reports, accounting for 72.8% of the reports on intellectual property rights.

  1. The packaging design of four Moutai wine products was sentenced to plagiarism and infringement

After a public hearing by the court, the infringement case of Kweichow Moutai Winery Changli Wine Industry Co., Ltd., with Yuan Renguo, the chairman of Moutai Group, personally acting as the legal representative surfaced: “Moutai-Guozun”, “Moutai-Oak Barrel” produced by Moutai Wine Company, The four product packaging designs of “Moutai-Small Production Area” and “Moutai-VIP Building” were copied from the design of Chiyu International Advertising (Beijing) Co., Ltd.

On November 25, 2011, the Beijing Xicheng District People’s Court ruled in the first instance that Moutai Wine Company and Quanshihao Trading Co., Ltd., the operator of Moutai Wine Company, were infringing, and requested the defendants Moutai Wine Company and Quanshihao Company to stop the infringement and compensate the victim company Chiyu lost a total of 240,000 yuan. Recently, the Beijing No. 1 Intermediate People’s Court issued a final judgment, upholding the original judgment of the first instance.

It is understood that in 2009, Chiyu Company conducted cooperation negotiations with Moutai Wine Company and Quanshihao Company. Chiyu Company made a tailor-made packaging design plan for each other, but the three parties failed to reach an agreement. During the contact process, Chiyu’s original design was leaked and copied.

Neither side is satisfied with this result. Moutai insisted that the case was only a contract dispute, and there was no infringement; Chiyu Company believed that the compensation amount of 240,000 yuan was too low, which was far from the 2 million yuan compensation amount in the lawsuit.

According to the International Finance News, regarding the final verdict, Ding Tao, Chief Operating Officer of Chiyu, said: “Although the desired result has not been achieved, it can be regarded as a truth. It’s just that the road to rights protection is too difficult.”

According to the comprehensive media point of view, my country’s current infringement compensation basically adopts “filling holes” remedial measures, and the low cost of violations makes the deterrent effect of the law not obvious, especially on the issue of intellectual property infringement. the intensity of punishment. The event attracted a total of 241 attention-grabbing reports, and the “Daily Economic News”, “Securities Daily” and “International Finance News” published the original reports.

  1. A well-known French wine company was sentenced to more than 30 million yuan in compensation for infringing on Chinese trademark intellectual property rights

The Intermediate Court of Wenzhou City, Zhejiang Province, China recently made a first-instance judgment, ordering the French Castel Brothers Co., Ltd. and its Chinese distributors to stop using the “Castel” trademark and to compensate Shanghai Bantey Wine Company 33.73 million yuan (approx. $5.3 million). So far, the intellectual property rights lawsuit against foreign companies in the Chinese wine industry, which lasted six years, has been won by the holder of the Chinese “Caster” trademark in the first instance.

It is reported that Li Daozhi, a Wenzhou businessman, is the chairman of Shanghai Banti Wine Company and Shanghai Castel Wine Company. Shanghai Castel is a professional brand operation company newly established on the basis of the original Shanghai Bantee, and it is also an organization legally authorized to sell and use the “Castel” trademark. Since 1998, the name “Caster” has been used on imported wines and was approved for trademark registration in 2000. In January 2012, with the approval of the Chinese and French governments, Shanghai Castel Wine Industry acquired three wineries in the Bordeaux region of France, officially launched the mid-to-high-end wines of the Castel Master series and exported them to China and other countries.

Founded in 2005, France Castel Brothers Co., Ltd. is one of the French wine producers. Since 2006, a large number of wines infringing the “Caster” trademark have been sold in China. The dispute between Li Daozhi and the French Castel Brothers Co., Ltd. over the “Castel” trademark began.

The suspected trademark infringement of multinational companies in China has been confirmed and punished accordingly, which undoubtedly has reference and warning significance for other international companies that are vigorously expanding their business in China. This incident will help Chinese enterprises to popularize the awareness of intellectual property protection, let enterprises respect intellectual property rights and innovation achievements, and help to reverse the current relatively common intellectual property infringements in the industry, including foreign enterprises’ intellectual property infringements in China.

The media that originally reported the incident included Xinhua Net, Xinhua Daily Telegraph, People’s Daily Online, China News Net, Metro Express, Qianjiang Evening News, and Today Morning Post, with nearly 200 reports.

  1. Air Jordan sued Jordan Sports

Not long ago, American basketball superstar Michael Jordan sued the Chinese sports brand Jordan, which sparked heated discussions in the media. After Jordan’s lawyer submitted the complaint to the Shanghai No. 2 Intermediate People’s Court and it was accepted, the matter has not progressed. On April 15, Jordan demanded 50 million yuan in compensation, which once again became the focus of media attention.

Jordan submitted the indictment to the Shanghai No. 2 Intermediate People’s Court in early March this year. On March 5, Qiaodan Sports issued a statement to the media confirming that it had received the notice of responding to the lawsuit. This shows that Jordan’s lawsuit against Qiaodan Sports has entered the judicial process. program.

It is reported that 50 million yuan is relatively high for a name right case. In general, when determining the requested amount, the plaintiff may refer to the amount of profit the defendant has made as a result of the alleged infringement. However, the current laws and regulations related to the right of name, such as the General Principles of the Civil Law, do not provide for the calculation method of the compensation amount for the loss of the right of name.

Although the public generally believes that Jordan Sports is suspected of playing “edge ball” by relying on the popularity of “flying man” Jordan, experts and lawyers generally believe that according to the current relevant laws and regulations of our country, it is not easy for Jordan to win the lawsuit. It is a legal trademark owner, and Jordan has no strong evidence to prove that the benefits obtained by Jordan Sports are directly related to Jordan. For such cases, the court has a relatively large room for discretion. Even if the infringement is established, the specific judgment amount may be quite different from the plaintiff’s request.

On the whole, during the monitoring period, the media’s dissemination of economic crime cases became more and more concentrated. The fields of commerce and trade, illegal fund-raising, and intellectual property became the areas with the most concentrated media reports for two consecutive periods, with the number of reports exceeding 500.

Part III Weekly Financial Highlights

  1. The survey shows that the operating conditions of Chinese enterprises have declined in the first quarter

China Entrepreneur Survey System released on the 14th the “Quick Survey Report on the Operational Conditions, Difficulties and Countermeasures of Enterprises in the First Quarter of 2012 by Thousands of Enterprises in the First Quarter”. Business operators are cautiously optimistic about the operating conditions of enterprises in the second quarter, and they expect profits to improve. The survey shows that most enterprises in my country currently have overcapacity, especially in textile, paper, chemical fiber, non-metal products, non-ferrous metals and other industries. At the same time, business operators expect that it will still be difficult to recruit workers in the second quarter.

  1. The level of non-performing loans of banks may enter an upward cycle

According to the 2011 annual reports of several commercial banks, the balance of non-performing loans of commercial banks rose in the fourth quarter of last year. A number of experts said that due to factors such as the slowdown in economic growth and the decline in corporate solvency, the level of non-performing loans in my country’s banking industry is at a cyclical bottom and is expected to enter an upward cycle. The non-performing loan ratio of commercial banks will remain at 2%- Around 3%, export-oriented economic regions and small and medium-sized financial institutions may be more vulnerable to the impact of rising levels of non-performing loans.

  1. The crackdown on illegal securities activities has been effective, and the court has pronounced more than 100 cases

At present, the occurrence and spread of illegal and criminal activities such as illegal issuance of stocks and illegal sales of stocks have been effectively controlled. As of the end of last year, courts at all levels have pronounced judgments on more than 100 such cases, and more than 200 criminals have been brought to justice, several of whom were sentenced to life imprisonment for the crime of fund-raising fraud.

  1. Fiscal revenue in many places bid farewell to high-growth tax revenue growth dropped significantly

According to the fiscal revenue and expenditure data for the first quarter of this year disclosed successively by local governments, the year-on-year growth rate of fiscal revenue in provinces with large economic aggregates such as Guangdong and Jiangsu, and municipalities directly under the central government such as Shanghai, Tianjin, and Chongqing has fallen sharply. Most local fiscal revenue bid farewell to high growth, and the year-on-year growth rate dropped to about 10%.

  1. Development and Reform Commission: Price reform cannot be stopped due to rising prices

Peng Sen, deputy director of the National Development and Reform Commission, recently published an article in the “Seeking Truth” magazine, saying that to promote price reforms, we must grasp the timing, rhythm and intensity of reforms, and consider both the needs of economic development and social affordability; Reform cannot be stopped just because the overall price level has risen, nor can reform measures be launched in a concentrated manner just because the overall price level is relatively stable.

  1. The World Bank lowered its forecast for China’s economic growth this year to 8.2%

The World Bank’s “China Economic Quarterly” released in Beijing on the 12th predicts that China’s gross domestic product (GDP) will grow by 8.2% this year, which is slightly lower than the 8.4% previously announced by the bank. As the global economy will improve next year, the report predicts that China’s GDP growth rate will be 8.6% next year, higher than the previously announced 8.3%. The report believes that although China’s economy is gradually slowing down, China has sufficient policy space to deal with downside risks. Cyclical weakness will be the main problem facing China in the near term.

  1. The Beige Book confirms that the U.S. economy continues to rise, and rising oil prices are the biggest worry for recovery

The Federal Reserve stated in the “Current Economic Environment Report” (“Beige Book”) released on the 11th that the economies of the 12 local Fed areas continued to maintain growth momentum from mid-February to the end of March, compared with January and February this year. The language in the two reports for the month was consistent. The difference is that in the latest report, the Fed repeatedly mentioned concerns about rising oil prices.

  1. In 2015, the scale of my country’s online shopping market will exceed 360 billion US dollars

According to the latest report released by Boston Consulting Group on April 12, driven by the increasing number of Internet users and the gradual improvement of consumers’ acceptance of e-commerce, China’s online retail sales will triple to 3600 by 2015. over US$100 million. The report pointed out that the number of online shoppers in China has reached 193 million, higher than the 170 million in the United States. From 2009 to 2011, the proportion of Internet users shopping online has risen from 28% to 36%, and it is expected to reach 47% by 2015, and the proportion of e-commerce in total retail sales may reach 8%.

(over)

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