石破茂成功当选日本自民党总裁,石破茂是如何在决胜轮实现翻盘的?

在史上最激烈的日本自民党总裁选举中,九位候选人齐聚一堂,角逐这一至关重要的职位。然而,最终胜利属于第五次参选的前干事长石破茂。整个选举历时长达15天,备受关注的候选人和实力派人物每周都在发生变化,但石破茂一直保持着稳定的支持率。

这场“无派系总裁选举”背后,隐藏着自民党内部的势力变化,预示着新一任首相的政权运营方向。石破茂在当选后的致辞中呼吁:“希望自民党能够恢复自由豁达的讨论,成为公平公正且谦逊的政党。”

在第二轮投票中,他以21票的优势逆转战胜了经济安全保障相高市早苗。尽管第一轮投票中,石破茂在党员和党友选票中比高市少一票,在议员投票中也少了26票,但他最终成功逆袭。

这场罕见的混战式自民党总裁选举中,石破茂是九名候选人中第二位宣布参选的。他毅然投入这场选战,豁出去了:“我将挑战最后一战。这是我38年政治生涯的总清算。”

虽然石破茂早早地确保了所需的20名推荐人,但在阵营确保了大约35人的选票之后,支持人数却迟迟没有增加。

决胜轮投票中的关键在于石破茂争取到了首相岸田文雄和前首相菅义伟的支持。在2021年总裁选举中,石破茂与菅义伟联手推举了数位大臣河野太郎。石破与岸田在野党时期就是同期议员,二人关系密切。

石破茂在距离总裁选举还有两天的9月25日追加发布了经济政策,并表示会继续推行岸田政府的政策措施。原岸田派的参议院干事长松山政司对此积极响应,呼吁原岸田派议员在决胜轮投票中支持石破。

总之,石破茂曾在2015年成立过石破派(水月会),但后来在自民党总裁选举中失败,并于2021年解散了该派系。这次解散派系后的首次参选,他成功夺得了自民党总裁宝座。他在9月27日早上的上阵仪式上感慨万分:“这次让我意识到自己有很多不足之处。”

现在,我们将密切关注,在自民党内与石破茂分庭抗礼的高市早苗的影响力走向。高市在总裁选举后召集其阵营的部分干部,在东京举行了慰劳会。
在自民党内,石破茂一直被认为不受议员欢迎。在第1轮投票中仅获得46张议员选票。今后,自民党干部和内阁成员人事安排将成为石破式政权运营的试金石。

英文翻译

Shigeru Ishiba was successfully elected as the president of the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan. How did Shigeru Ishiba achieve a comeback in the final round?

In the most intense election for the president of the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan in history, nine candidates gathered together to compete for this crucial position. However, the final victory belonged to Shigeru Ishiba, the former secretary-general who ran for the fifth time. The entire election lasted for 15 days, and the candidates and powerful figures who attracted much attention changed every week, but Shigeru Ishiba maintained a stable support rate.

Behind this “non-factional presidential election”, there are changes in power within the Liberal Democratic Party, which foreshadows the direction of the new prime minister’s regime. In his speech after his election, Shigeru Ishiba called for: “I hope that the Liberal Democratic Party can restore free and open-minded discussions and become a fair, just and humble party.”

In the second round of voting, he reversed and defeated the Minister of Economic Security, Sanae Takaichi, by 21 votes. Although Shigeru Ishiba had one less vote than Takaichi in the votes of party members and party friends in the first round of voting, and 26 less votes in the votes of members, he finally succeeded in the counterattack.

In this rare mixed-race LDP presidential election, Shigeru Ishiba was the second of the nine candidates to announce his candidacy. He resolutely threw himself into the election and risked his life: “I will challenge the last battle. This is the final settlement of my 38-year political career.”

Although Shigeru Ishiba secured the required 20 recommenders early, the number of supporters has not increased after the camp secured votes from about 35 people.

The key to the runoff vote is that Shigeru Ishiba has won the support of Prime Minister Fumio Kishida and former Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga. In the 2021 presidential election, Shigeru Ishiba and Yoshihide Suga jointly nominated several ministers, Taro Kono. Ishiba and Kishida were members of the same period when they were in the opposition party, and the two have a close relationship.

On September 25, two days before the presidential election, Shigeru Ishiba released an additional economic policy and stated that he would continue to implement the policies and measures of the Kishida government. The former Secretary-General of the Senate of the Kishida faction, Masaji Matsuyama, responded positively to this and called on former Kishida faction members to support Ishiba in the runoff vote.

In short, Ishiba Shigeru founded the Ishiba faction (Sugetsukai) in 2015, but later lost in the LDP presidential election and disbanded the faction in 2021. In this first election after the disbandment of the faction, he successfully won the LDP presidential throne. He was very emotional at the battle ceremony on the morning of September 27: “This time I realized that I have many shortcomings.”

Now, we will pay close attention to the influence of Sanae Takaichi, who competes with Ishiba Shigeru in the LDP. After the presidential election, Takaichi convened some cadres from his camp and held a consolation meeting in Tokyo.
In the LDP, Ishiba Shigeru has always been considered unpopular with lawmakers. He only received 46 votes from lawmakers in the first round of voting. In the future, the personnel arrangements of LDP cadres and cabinet members will become a touchstone for the operation of the Ishiba-style government.

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