夏林茂升任北京市委副书记,会不会是未来的政治局常委。蔡奇到底有多忠于习近平。蔡奇有没有出卖习近平

大家好,点菜啊,北京市常务副市长夏林茂,可能马上要升任北京市委副书记了,夏林茂最有故事,最有梗的地方居然是浙江,还有夏林茂现在的大秘,北京市政府副秘书长刘圣国。如果简单说,就一句话,夏林茂是胡锦涛的人。其实应该把北京市委常委都说一下啊。

北京市委副书记刘伟已经升任了,交通部的党组书记。谁来接替北京市委副书记呢?首先呢,三中全会之后,习近平的人已经上不去了。这个事实,已经验证了,40遍了。除非习近平能够大幅扭转这个趋势,不然的话,下一任北京市委副书记,肯定是胡锦涛派系的,或者江泽民派系的。胡锦涛和江泽民应该是六四分,或者七三分。北京市委常委里面纪委书记陈健,副市长靳伟,秘书长赵磊,这三个人都是习近平派系的。这三个人肯定没戏。(于英杰可能也是习近平派系的,有待确认。

剩下的人里面,资历最深的就是夏林茂。如果从北京市委常委里面找一个北京市委副书记的话,就是夏林茂。除非从外省市调人。如果夏林茂顺利的升任副书记,应该是杨晋柏或者孙军民接替夏林茂担任北京市常务副市长。常务副市长是一个很重要的位置。中国这种独裁体系,就是一把手和二把手说了算。北京市政府就是殷勇和夏林茂说了算,下面的副市长好不使。一把手和二把手两个人就能掌握80%的权力。下面的副市长就是个跑腿的,或者说混资历,等着下一步升迁的。

游钧虽然是江泽民派系的。但是游钧年纪太大了,没有什么潜力了。如果北京市常务副市长这个位置给江泽民派系的话,应该杨晋柏接北京市常务副市长。如果给胡锦涛派系的话,就是孙军民接北京市常务副市长。

1988年,18岁的夏林茂进入清华大学水利系就读,1993年7月,23岁的夏林茂毕业参加工作。2010年,40岁的夏林茂任北京市委办公厅副主任,兼任北京市委督查室主任。从23岁到40岁,这17年夏林茂都在北京市规划系统工作,这期间他的上级就是当时的北京市副市长陈刚。

夏林茂是清华大学水利系的,胡锦涛也是清华大学水利系的。陈刚应该就是胡锦涛的人。没有深入研究陈刚,陈刚2019年1月被抓。这时候王岐山已经退休了,是中国国家副主席。中纪委书记是赵乐际,肯定不是赵乐际抓的陈刚。那就是中纪委第一副书记杨晓渡,杨晓渡应该是习近平派系的。

陈刚在南京判刑15年,10个月后南京市委书记张敬华就被抓了

陈刚2021年2月被判刑15年,当年啊,2021年12月,南京市委书记张敬华就被抓了。10个月就被抓了。说明一是,胡锦涛认为陈刚被判15年,判刑过重。因为当时给陈刚判刑15年的南京中级人民法院院长孙道林,就是张敬华任命的。因为党管司法嘛,因为张敬华给陈刚量刑过重,立马就被胡锦涛抓了。第二,说明陈刚不是赵乐际抓的,就是杨晓渡抓的。抓陈刚和,抓给陈刚判刑的张敬华,肯定不是一个派系的啊。就是互抓啊。不可能自己人抓自己人啊。(赵乐际是江泽民派系的,但彼时江泽民和胡锦涛已经开始合作了。)

张敬华是李学勇的秘书,李学勇是朱镕基的人。一直就是朱镕基在支持习近平终身连任。朱镕基这孙子抓了胡锦涛亲信,支持习近平终身连任。抓胡锦涛的人没毛病,但是支持习近平终身连任,就罪无可赦了。尤其是朱镕基的马仔在武汉疫情中祸害了全世界。这次中共篡政75周年,没有出来的人除了胡锦涛,朱镕基,吴邦国,宋平,梁光烈都是陈云习近平派系的人。

因为关国亮的案件报告里面写的清清楚楚的,朱镕基派人举报胡锦涛和黄菊,我才敢说的。我是看到答案,然后再从公开资料里面,找证据的。

郭金龙提拔夏林茂担任石景山区长和密云区委书记

后来提拔夏林茂的这几步,都是郭金龙。2010年,40岁的夏林茂任北京市委办公厅副主任,兼任北京市委督查室主任。当时的北京市长是郭金龙(2007年11月30日 – 2012年7月25日)。2011年2月,41岁的夏林茂任北京市石景山区长,北京市长还是郭金龙。2017年5月3日,夏林茂升任密云区委书记。当时的北京市委书记是郭金龙(2012年7月 – 2017年5月27日)。也就是说郭金龙已经从北京市长升任了北京市委书记。

而且大家注意啊,郭金龙5月27日被免去北京市委书记。夏林茂是5月3日任命的密云区委书记。说明郭金龙已经知道自己要被免职了。第二呢,胡锦涛是苦心培养夏林茂,为什么这么说呢。2017年5月,中纪委王岐山已经抓了很多,江泽民的人,胡锦涛的人。郭金龙马上就要退休了。然后,胡锦涛和郭金龙,精心策划,把夏林茂藏到了密云,提拔成区委书记,级别上去了。但是,藏到郊区,免得被中纪委王岐山给抓了。胡锦涛把人都藏在外国,藏在古巴,藏在澳门,藏在云南,藏在宁夏。要么藏到国外,要么藏到边远地区。

中国外交部部长助理赵志远,涉嫌肖建华案,习近平安排赵志远跑路埃塞尔比亚

其实,习近平也是一样的。中国外交部部长助理赵志远,涉嫌肖建华案,赵乐际要抓赵志远,习近平就安排赵志远跑路埃塞尔比亚。避过风头,才回中国的。肖建华的公司就是习近平小姨子彭丽娟的老公徐兴建的公司。说是曾庆红的,就是大外宣,就是习近平派来共匪,给习近平洗地的。

郭金龙可以稍微深入的说透彻一下,我们可以百分百确定,郭金龙的确是胡锦涛的人。然后再用郭金龙,来确定其他人的派系。

首先,胡春华给郭金龙在西藏担任过两年的大秘。当时西藏书记陈奎元是陈云派系的。陈奎元提拔的吴英杰已经被抓了。一把手陈奎元不是胡锦涛派系,不可能提拔胡春华。就是二把手,郭金龙,当时是西藏的常务副书记,二把手,提拔的胡春华。要不然就没有人能够提拔胡春华了。

郭金龙最早是四川省重庆市忠县的县长。当时四川省委书记杨汝岱,亲自打电话给当时的地委书记,把,郭金龙调到四川省开始培养的。杨汝岱后来是中国的政协副主席。杨汝岱是中国唯一一个敢去亲自拜祭赵紫阳的副国级。就和少数几个敢去吊唁李克强的姜大明一样啊。和敢去吊唁吴国华的张小阳一样。疾风知劲草,板荡识忠臣。

他们总算有点中国古代人的那种侠义之风,赵紫阳,李克强,吴国华,在当时都是政治上的失败者。去吊唁他们已经没有任何的功利的目的,在里面了。而且要顶着巨大的政治压力,需要勇气。当时都是没有几个人敢去。

既不是为了功利,又要顶着压力,虽千万人吾往矣

大家可以讨论一下,如果习近平倒台了,蔡奇还会不会这么挺习近平啊。大家看,醍醐灌顶,触及灵魂,拨云见日,鞭辟入里,触动人心,人间奇迹

这才几年啊。我问大家这是哪一年,这是2023年,蔡奇还这么卖命拍习近平马屁呢。
现在就消停了。

2019年1月,49岁的夏林茂担任北京市东城区委书记。当时的北京市委书记是蔡奇(2017年5月 – 2022年11月),北京市长是陈吉宁(2017年5月27日 – 2022年10月28日)。这一步只是平调,而且也有故事,也有梗。我们看看蔡奇在里面发挥了什么作用。2019年1月,夏林茂从密云平调到东城担任区委书记。就在同一个月,夏林茂的老上级陈刚,被抓了。

陈刚应该是没有咬出夏林茂,因为胡锦涛对陈刚被判刑15年不满意,觉得量刑过重,就把给陈刚判刑的南京市委书记张敬华给抓了。陈刚又没有咬出夏林茂。那怎么办呢?

习近平就下令蔡奇把夏林茂,直接撤职。

2019年12月13日,北京市委机关报《北京日报》报导称,北京日报客户端记者获悉,东城区委书记夏林茂调任浙江省杭州市委副书记、代市长。《北京日报》发布上述消息后不久,其客户端再次发布更正声明,称上述人事任免为不实消息,并对相关责任人停职检查。然后就是中共的传统艺能,删帖封号。不仅在中国的社交媒体上,包括官媒《解放日报》、《新京报》、澎湃新闻、凤凰网等网站的相关报导均被删除。

但是这个消息是《北京日报》曾经发表过的消息。也就是夏林茂当时差点就要躲到浙江去避难。当时的浙江省长是袁家军(2017年4月-2020年9月)。大家想想,夏林茂为什么要躲到浙江去避难。为什么要躲到袁家军那里?袁家军当省长的时候的大秘陈新,有人说陈新是曾庆红的秘书。我也不知道这个消息准不准,是不是大外宣放的假消息。

反正陈新应该不是曾庆红的秘书,就是胡锦涛的秘书。后来又担任袁家军的大秘。夏林茂又要躲到袁家军那里去避难。

后来,蔡奇为什么又怂了呢?不敢把夏林茂撤职呢?习近平不是天天嚷嚷要敢于斗争,勇于斗争吗?蔡奇是习近平的头号马仔。关键时刻怎么就怂了呢?

估计就是赵乐际要出手了,赵乐际可能要抓蔡奇的大秘崔述强,蔡奇就怂了。我们看蔡奇对习近平,也没有做到勇于斗争。真要抓蔡奇的马仔,他就怂了。要抓到蔡奇自己头上了。后面还要给大家介绍蔡奇的马仔。

2021年2月 – 2023年1月,51岁的夏林茂担任了两年的北京教育工委书记。这个夏林茂每一步都很精彩。都很有故事。这一步呢,不是夏林茂精彩,而是北京教育工委,有故事,很精彩。绝对是炸裂级的故事,我就不讲了。我们简单捋一下这些人就知道了。赵凤桐是胡锦涛派系的。赵凤桐是郭金龙的大秘。苟仲文和林克庆是习近平派系的。苟仲文已经被抓了。苟仲文曾经养过习近平的情人高歌。孙力军是孟宏伟的秘书,不是孟建柱的秘书。孙力军就是韩正的英文秘书,韩正是习近平派系的。要不韩正怎么当着国家副主席不退休啊。

这个王宁不是云南的王宁,但这两个王宁都是胡锦涛派系的。夏林茂是胡锦涛派系的。游钧是江泽民派系的。胡锦涛为什么把这个位置让给了江泽民呢?

我之前给大家分析过中国主要24个上将,黄色代表习近平派系,绿色代表非习近平派系。
大概就是这么一个情况,24个上将,13个上将是习近平派系的。8个是胡锦涛派系的,3个是江泽民派系。就有点胡锦涛向江泽民借兵的意思。江泽民就相当于,民主国家议会,关键少数的意思。这个是纸面的实力分析。

江泽民已经把自己手上的军队借给胡锦涛了,胡锦涛会把一些职位让给江泽民派系的人。不管怎么说,江泽民和胡锦涛斗归斗,但是一开始就是邓小平交权给江泽民的,后来江泽民又把权力交还给了邓小平派系的胡锦涛。到习近平这里,掀桌子了。纸面上,是这么分析的,实际就很复杂了。比如政治工作部,他们不能打呀,苗华和何宏军能打吗?也不好说。纸面上分析,那肯定是军事将领比政委能打呀。

我理解大概就是这么一个情况。对于习近平来说的,好消息就是汪海江还在啊,中国75周年的时候,汪海江出席了四川省的仪式。

北京教育工委的副书记刘宇辉当了7年副书记,经历了4个书记。前面两个苟仲文和林克庆是习近平派系的。后面两个王宁和夏林茂是胡锦涛派系的。刘宇辉和夏林茂同时离开了北京教育工委。这里要将一个常识就是书记不能提拔副书记,都是他们的上级提拔的。就是省委书记不能提拔省长,或者省委常委。好多人这些基本的事情都没搞明白。

刘宇辉曾经是吕锡文的大秘,现在是谌贻琴的大秘,从这里看呢,吕锡文和谌贻琴应该都是胡锦涛派系的。我还没有深入去研究。

夏林茂现在是北京市常务副市长,他的大秘刘圣国,还有故事,还有梗。刘圣国曾经是海淀区财政局的局长。

我们看看海淀区这几个区委书记就知道有多复杂了。赵凤桐是郭金龙大秘,是胡锦涛派系的。隋振江是吉林大秘,是习近平派系的。崔述强是蔡奇大秘,是习近平派系的。上面我说过了,当时如果蔡奇敢动夏林茂,那么胡锦涛就要下令赵乐际抓蔡奇的大秘崔述强。就说啊,蔡奇到底有没有舍得为了习近平豁得出去啊。蔡奇他也有一帮小弟,一帮马仔,他要罩着。共产党就是黑社会嘛。

海淀区长穆鹏后来就是殷勇的大秘。梗在哪里呢?有意思的事情在哪里呢?2012年2月21日海淀区第十五届人民代表大会,40岁的刘圣国担任北京市海淀区财政局的局长。当时的海淀区委书记是赵凤桐,换届之后就是隋振江,赵凤桐背后是胡锦涛,隋振江背后是习近平。

所以啊,为什么有人认为北京高考不公平。对于郭金龙来说,认识杨汝岱,通过杨汝岱认识总书记赵紫阳,这是他唯一的机会。

但是对于刘圣国来说,他有两个选择。当然了实际上,他可能没有选择。但至少纸面上他有两个选择。要么跟胡锦涛,要么跟习近平。

这就是北京官员和外地官员的区别,对于四川官员郭金龙,他的机会很少,对于北京官员,刘圣国来说,他需要自己来选择,跟随哪个总书记。

选错就要被抓了。北京市副市长高朋,就是选错了,就被抓了。我没有深入研究过高朋。具体情况我不是很了解。

我不知道看到影片这里的观众,你会选谁,在2012年2年,你会选择跟随胡锦涛还是跟随习近平。当时可能还没有人想到习近平会终身连任。更不会有人想到,习近平终身连任之后,习近平的马仔还要被抓,因为中纪委书记李希是胡锦涛温家宝的人,中纪委第一副书记刘金国是江泽民赵乐际的人。李希和刘金国两个人就可以控制中纪委80%以上的权力。

估计更不会有人想到三中全会之后,胡锦涛居然又可以提拔官员了。就两层意思啊,首先外地官员根本没有机会认识总书记。北京官员,你要选,你跟哪个总书记。太不公平了,是不是。第二层意思。大家可以想想一下,如果你说刘圣国,你会怎么选?

我这就是一个政治分析,有点算命的意思了。刘圣国应该能当北京市副市长。夏林茂应该是政治局委员。

我给大家看一下政治局常委和政治局委员担任省委副书记的年龄,大家就明白了。首先夏林茂肯定不是按照总书记培养的,其次,如果夏林茂这一两个月顺利升任北京市委副书记,那他很有可能将来是政治局委员,是不是常委就不好说了。比夏林茂担任副书记时间晚的李希和蔡奇都当上常委了。不好说啊,但是一般来说55岁,之前当上省委副书记,进政治局的可能性就比较大了。

再说了,形势变化这么,到时候,中共还在不在都说,可能都已经倒台了。不进行政治体制改革,不进行民主改革,什么都是白搭,扭转不了国运。

我们已经来到了大时代的十字路口

,中国经济已经自由落体。日本30年,什么招数没有用过,最后是什么效果?

无非就是共产党如果有某个高层愿意主动政改,那么中国可能过渡得和平一些。如果不愿意主动改,中国就可能过渡得献忠一些。

大家都会见证中国一个大时代的到来,谁也阻挡不了。中国经济不行了,社会矛盾就要总爆发。

好的,谢谢大家。

英文翻译

Xia Linmao was promoted to deputy secretary of the Beijing Municipal Committee. Will he be a member of the Politburo Standing Committee in the future? How loyal is Cai Qi to Xi Jinping? Did Cai Qi betray Xi Jinping?

Hello everyone, order food. Xia Linmao, executive deputy mayor of Beijing, may soon be promoted to deputy secretary of the Beijing Municipal Committee. The most interesting and interesting place for Xia Linmao is Zhejiang. There is also Xia Linmao’s current chief secretary, Liu Shengguo, deputy secretary-general of the Beijing Municipal Government. To put it simply, in one sentence, Xia Linmao is Hu Jintao’s man. In fact, all the members of the Beijing Municipal Committee should be mentioned.

Liu Wei, deputy secretary of the Beijing Municipal Committee, has been promoted to party secretary of the Ministry of Transport. Who will replace the deputy secretary of the Beijing Municipal Committee? First of all, after the Third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee, Xi Jinping’s people can no longer get promoted. This fact has been verified 40 times. Unless Xi Jinping can significantly reverse this trend, the next deputy secretary of the Beijing Municipal Committee will definitely be from the Hu Jintao faction or the Jiang Zemin faction. Hu Jintao and Jiang Zemin should be 64% or 73%. Among the Standing Committee members of the Beijing Municipal Party Committee, the Secretary of the Discipline Inspection Commission Chen Jian, the Deputy Mayor Jin Wei, and the Secretary General Zhao Lei are all from the Xi Jinping faction. These three people are definitely out of the picture. (Yu Yingjie may also be from the Xi Jinping faction, but this remains to be confirmed.)

Among the remaining people, Xia Linmao is the one with the most experience. If we were to find a deputy secretary of the Beijing Municipal Party Committee from the Standing Committee of the Beijing Municipal Party Committee, it would be Xia Linmao. Unless someone is transferred from another province or city. If Xia Linmao is successfully promoted to deputy secretary, Yang Jinbai or Sun Junmin should replace Xia Linmao as the executive deputy mayor of Beijing. The executive deputy mayor is a very important position. In China’s authoritarian system, the top and second-in-command have the final say. The Beijing Municipal Government is ruled by Yin Yong and Xia Linmao, and the deputy mayors below are useless. The top and second-in-command can control 80% of the power. The deputy mayors below are just errand boys, or they are just mingling their experience, waiting for the next promotion.

Although You Jun is from the Jiang Zemin faction, You Jun is too old and has no potential. If the position of Beijing’s executive vice mayor is given to Jiang Zemin’s faction, Yang Jinbai should take over as Beijing’s executive vice mayor. If it is given to Hu Jintao’s faction, Sun Junmin should take over as Beijing’s executive vice mayor.

In 1988, 18-year-old Xia Linmao entered the Department of Water Conservancy of Tsinghua University. In July 1993, 23-year-old Xia Linmao graduated and started working. In 2010, 40-year-old Xia Linmao served as deputy director of the General Office of the Beijing Municipal Party Committee and concurrently director of the Beijing Municipal Party Committee’s Supervision Office. From the age of 23 to 40, Xia Linmao worked in the Beijing Municipal Planning System for 17 years. During this period, his superior was Chen Gang, the then vice mayor of Beijing.

Xia Linmao is from the Department of Water Conservancy of Tsinghua University, and Hu Jintao is also from the Department of Water Conservancy of Tsinghua University. Chen Gang should be Hu Jintao’s man. Chen Gang was arrested in January 2019 without in-depth research. At this time, Wang Qishan had retired and was the Vice President of China. The Secretary of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection is Zhao Leji, and it is definitely not Zhao Leji who arrested Chen Gang. That is Yang Xiaodu, the first deputy secretary of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection. Yang Xiaodu should be from Xi Jinping’s faction.

Chen Gang was sentenced to 15 years in Nanjing, and Zhang Jinghua, the secretary of the Nanjing Municipal Party Committee, was arrested 10 months later
Chen Gang was sentenced to 15 years in February 2021. In December 2021, Zhang Jinghua, the secretary of the Nanjing Municipal Party Committee, was arrested. He was arrested 10 months later. This shows that Hu Jintao believed that Chen Gang was sentenced to 15 years, which was too heavy. Because Sun Daolin, the president of the Nanjing Intermediate People’s Court who sentenced Chen Gang to 15 years, was appointed by Zhang Jinghua. Because the party controls the judiciary, Zhang Jinghua was arrested immediately because he sentenced Chen Gang too heavily. Second, it shows that Chen Gang was arrested by Yang Xiaodu, not Zhao Leji. The arrest of Chen Gang and Zhang Jinghua, who sentenced Chen Gang, are definitely not from the same faction. They arrested each other. It is impossible for one person to arrest another. (Zhao Leji is from Jiang Zemin’s faction, but Jiang Zemin and Hu Jintao had already started to cooperate at that time.)

Zhang Jinghua is Li Xueyong’s secretary, and Li Xueyong is Zhu Rongji’s man. Zhu Rongji has always been supporting Xi Jinping’s lifelong re-election. Zhu Rongji’s grandson arrested Hu Jintao’s cronies and supported Xi Jinping’s lifelong re-election. There is nothing wrong with arresting Hu Jintao’s people, but supporting Xi Jinping’s lifelong re-election is unforgivable. Especially Zhu Rongji’s lackeys have harmed the whole world during the Wuhan epidemic. In this 75th anniversary of the CCP’s usurpation of power, the people who did not come out except Hu Jintao, Zhu Rongji, Wu Bangguo, Song Ping, and Liang Guanglie are all from Chen Yun and Xi Jinping’s faction.

Because Guan Guoliang’s case report clearly stated that Zhu Rongji sent people to report Hu Jintao and Huang Ju, I dared to say it. I saw the answer and then found evidence from public information.

Guo Jinlong promoted Xia Linmao to be the mayor of Shijingshan District and the secretary of Miyun District Committee
The steps to promote Xia Linmao were all made by Guo Jinlong. In 2010, 40-year-old Xia Linmao was appointed as the deputy director of the Beijing Municipal Committee Office and concurrently the director of the Beijing Municipal Committee Inspection Office. The mayor of Beijing at that time was Guo Jinlong (November 30, 2007 – July 25, 2012). In February 2011, 41-year-old Xia Linmao was appointed as the mayor of Shijingshan District, Beijing, and the mayor of Beijing was still Guo Jinlong. On May 3, 2017, Xia Linmao was promoted to the secretary of Miyun District Committee. The secretary of Beijing Municipal Committee at that time was Guo Jinlong (July 2012 – May 27, 2017). In other words, Guo Jinlong has been promoted from the mayor of Beijing to the secretary of Beijing Municipal Committee.

And everyone should pay attention, Guo Jinlong was removed from the secretary of Beijing Municipal Committee on May 27. Xia Linmao was appointed as the secretary of Miyun District Committee on May 3. This shows that Guo Jinlong already knew that he was going to be removed from office. Secondly, Hu Jintao painstakingly cultivated Xia Linmao. Why do I say that? In May 2017, Wang Qishan, the head of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection, had arrested many people, including Jiang Zemin and Hu Jintao. Guo Jinlong was about to retire. Then, Hu Jintao and Guo Jinlong carefully planned to hide Xia Linmao in Miyun and promoted him to the position of district party secretary, which raised his rank. However, he hid him in the suburbs to avoid being arrested by Wang Qishan, the head of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection. Hu Jintao hid people in foreign countries, in Cuba, Macau, Yunnan, and Ningxia. Either hide abroad or in remote areas.

Zhao Zhiyuan, assistant minister of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of China, was suspected of the Xiao Jianhua case, and Xi Jinping arranged for Zhao Zhiyuan to flee to Ethiopia
In fact, Xi Jinping was the same. Zhao Zhiyuan, assistant minister of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of China, was suspected of the Xiao Jianhua case, and Zhao Leji wanted to arrest Zhao Zhiyuan, so Xi Jinping arranged for Zhao Zhiyuan to flee to Ethiopia. He returned to China after avoiding the limelight. Xiao Jianhua’s company is the company of Xu Xingjian, the husband of Xi Jinping’s sister-in-law Peng Lijuan. Saying that it was Zeng Qinghong’s is just a big foreign propaganda, that is, Xi Jinping sent the Communist bandits to whitewash Xi Jinping.

Guo Jinlong can talk a little more thoroughly, and we can be 100% sure that Guo Jinlong is indeed Hu Jintao’s man. Then use Guo Jinlong to determine the factions of others.

First, Hu Chunhua served as Guo Jinlong’s chief secretary in Tibet for two years. At that time, Chen Kuiyuan, the secretary of Tibet, was from Chen Yun’s faction. Wu Yingjie, who was promoted by Chen Kuiyuan, has been arrested. The top leader Chen Kuiyuan is not from Hu Jintao’s faction and could not have promoted Hu Chunhua. It was the second-in-command, Guo Jinlong, who was the executive vice secretary of Tibet at the time, the second-in-command, who promoted Hu Chunhua. Otherwise, no one could promote Hu Chunhua.

Guo Jinlong was originally the county magistrate of Zhong County, Chongqing City, Sichuan Province. At that time, Yang Rudai, the secretary of the Sichuan Provincial Party Committee, personally called the secretary of the prefectural party committee at the time and transferred Guo Jinlong to Sichuan Province to start training. Yang Rudai later became the vice chairman of the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference. Yang Rudai is the only vice-state level official in China who dared to pay personal respects to Zhao Ziyang. Just like Jiang Daming, one of the few who dared to pay respects to Li Keqiang. Just like Zhang Xiaoyang, who dared to pay respects to Wu Guohua. Strong winds reveal strong grass, and turbulent times reveal loyal ministers.

They finally had a bit of the chivalrous spirit of ancient Chinese people. Zhao Ziyang, Li Keqiang, and Wu Guohua were all political losers at the time. There was no utilitarian purpose in paying respects to them. And it took courage to withstand huge political pressure. Few people dared to go at that time.

Not for utilitarianism, but also to withstand pressure, even if there are thousands of people, I will go

You can discuss whether Cai Qi will still support Xi Jinping if Xi Jinping falls. You see, it is a revelation, touching the soul, clearing the clouds and seeing the sun, penetrating into the heart, touching people’s hearts, a miracle in the world

It has only been a few years. I asked everyone what year this was. It was 2023, and Cai Qi was still working so hard to flatter Xi Jinping.
Now it’s quiet.

In January 2019, 49-year-old Xia Linmao served as secretary of the Dongcheng District Committee of Beijing. At that time, the secretary of the Beijing Municipal Committee was Cai Qi (May 2017-November 2022), and the mayor of Beijing was Chen Jining (May 27, 2017-October 28, 2022). This step was just a horizontal transfer, and there was also a story and a plot. Let’s see what role Cai Qi played in it. In January 2019, Xia Linmao was transferred from Miyun to Dongcheng to serve as the district party secretary. In the same month, Xia Linmao’s old superior Chen Gang was arrested.

Chen Gang should not have bitten Xia Linmao, because Hu Jintao was not satisfied with Chen Gang’s 15-year sentence and felt that the sentence was too heavy, so he arrested Zhang Jinghua, the secretary of the Nanjing Municipal Committee who sentenced Chen Gang. Chen Gang did not bite Xia Linmao again. What to do then?

Xi Jinping ordered Cai Qi to directly remove Xia Linmao from his post.
On December 13, 2019, the Beijing Municipal Party Committee’s official newspaper, Beijing Daily, reported that a reporter from the Beijing Daily client learned that Xia Linmao, secretary of the Dongcheng District Party Committee, was transferred to the position of deputy secretary and acting mayor of Hangzhou Municipal Party Committee, Zhejiang Province. Shortly after the Beijing Daily released the above news, its client again issued a correction statement, saying that the above personnel appointments and removals were false news, and the relevant responsible persons were suspended for inspection. Then it was the traditional art of the CCP, deleting posts and banning accounts. Not only on Chinese social media, but also on official media such as the Liberation Daily, the Beijing News, The Paper, and Phoenix.com, related reports were deleted.

But this news was once published by the Beijing Daily. That is, Xia Linmao almost had to hide in Zhejiang for refuge. The governor of Zhejiang at the time was Yuan Jiajun (April 2017-September 2020). Think about it, why did Xia Linmao hide in Zhejiang for refuge? Why did he hide in Yuan Jiajun? Chen Xin, the chief secretary of Yuan Jiajun when he was the governor, was said to be Zeng Qinghong’s secretary. I don’t know if this news is accurate or not, or if it is fake news released by the big foreign propaganda.

Anyway, Chen Xin should be either Zeng Qinghong’s secretary or Hu Jintao’s secretary. Later, he became the chief secretary of Yuan Jiajun. Xia Linmao had to hide in Yuan Jiajun again for refuge.

Later, why did Cai Qi become cowardly again? Why didn’t he dare to dismiss Xia Linmao? Didn’t Xi Jinping shout every day that he should dare to fight and be brave to fight? Cai Qi is Xi Jinping’s number one henchman. Why did he become cowardly at the critical moment?

It is estimated that Zhao Leji was going to take action. Zhao Leji might want to arrest Cai Qi’s chief secretary Cui Shuqiang, so Cai Qi became cowardly. We can see that Cai Qi did not dare to fight against Xi Jinping. If he really wanted to arrest Cai Qi’s henchmen, he would become cowardly. It was about to arrest Cai Qi himself. I will introduce Cai Qi’s henchmen to you later.

From February 2021 to January 2023, 51-year-old Xia Linmao served as the secretary of the Beijing Education Working Committee for two years. Every step of Xia Linmao was wonderful. There are stories. This step is not about Xia Linmao, but the Beijing Education Working Committee. There are stories, very wonderful. It is definitely a story of explosive level, I will not talk about it. We can know it by simply combing through these people. Zhao Fengtong is from Hu Jintao’s faction. Zhao Fengtong is Guo Jinlong’s chief secretary. Gou Zhongwen and Lin Keqing are from Xi Jinping’s faction. Gou Zhongwen has been arrested. Gou Zhongwen once supported Xi Jinping’s lover Gao Ge. Sun Lijun is Meng Hongwei’s secretary, not Meng Jianzhu’s secretary. Sun Lijun is Han Zheng’s English secretary, Han Zheng is from Xi Jinping’s faction. Otherwise, how could Han Zheng not retire as the vice president of the country.

This Wang Ning is not the Wang Ning of Yunnan, but these two Wang Nings are from Hu Jintao’s faction. Xia Linmao is from Hu Jintao’s faction. You Jun is from Jiang Zemin’s faction. Why did Hu Jintao give this position to Jiang Zemin?

I have previously analyzed the 24 major generals in China. Yellow represents Xi Jinping’s faction, and green represents non-Xi Jinping’s faction.
This is roughly the situation. Of the 24 generals, 13 are from Xi Jinping’s faction. 8 are from Hu Jintao’s faction, and 3 are from Jiang Zemin’s faction. It’s a bit like Hu Jintao borrowing troops from Jiang Zemin. Jiang Zemin is equivalent to the key minority in the parliament of a democratic country. This is a paper analysis of strength.

Jiang Zemin has already lent his army to Hu Jintao, and Hu Jintao will give some positions to people from Jiang Zemin’s faction. In any case, Jiang Zemin and Hu Jintao fought each other, but it was Deng Xiaoping who handed over power to Jiang Zemin at the beginning, and later Jiang Zemin handed the power back to Hu Jintao from Deng Xiaoping’s faction. When it comes to Xi Jinping, the table is overturned. On paper, this is the analysis, but in reality it is very complicated. For example, the Political Work Department cannot fight. Can Miao Hua and He Hongjun fight? It is hard to say. On paper, it is definitely that military generals can fight better than political commissars.

I understand that this is probably the situation. For Xi Jinping, the good news is that Wang Haijiang is still there. When China celebrated its 75th anniversary, Wang Haijiang attended the ceremony in Sichuan Province.

Liu Yuhui, deputy secretary of the Beijing Education Working Committee, served as deputy secretary for 7 years and experienced 4 secretaries. The first two, Gou Zhongwen and Lin Keqing, were from the Xi Jinping faction. The latter two, Wang Ning and Xia Linmao, were from the Hu Jintao faction. Liu Yuhui and Xia Linmao left the Beijing Education Working Committee at the same time. Here we should understand that the secretary cannot promote the deputy secretary. They are all promoted by their superiors. That is, the provincial party secretary cannot promote the governor or the provincial party committee standing committee member. Many people don’t understand these basic things.

Liu Yuhui used to be Lu Xiwen’s chief secretary, and now he is Chen Yiqin’s chief secretary. From this point of view, Lu Xiwen and Chen Yiqin should both be from the Hu Jintao faction. I haven’t studied it in depth yet.

Xia Linmao is now the executive vice mayor of Beijing. His chief secretary Liu Shengguo has stories and plots. Liu Shengguo was once the director of the Finance Bureau of Haidian District.

Let’s take a look at the district party secretaries of Haidian District to see how complicated it is. Zhao Fengtong is Guo Jinlong’s chief secretary, from Hu Jintao’s faction. Sui Zhenjiang is Jilin’s chief secretary, from Xi Jinping’s faction. Cui Shuqiang is Cai Qi’s chief secretary, from Xi Jinping’s faction. I said above that if Cai Qi dared to touch Xia Linmao, then Hu Jintao would have ordered Zhao Leji to arrest Cai Qi’s chief secretary Cui Shuqiang. Just to say, is Cai Qi willing to risk his life for Xi Jinping? Cai Qi also has a group of younger brothers and a group of lackeys, and he has to protect them. The Communist Party is a gang.

Haidian District Mayor Mu Peng later became Yin Yong’s chief secretary. Where is the plot? Where is the interesting thing? On February 21, 2012, at the 15th People’s Congress of Haidian District, 40-year-old Liu Shengguo served as the director of the Finance Bureau of Haidian District, Beijing. At that time, the secretary of the Haidian District Committee was Zhao Fengtong, and after the change of term, it was Sui Zhenjiang. Behind Zhao Fengtong was Hu Jintao, and behind Sui Zhenjiang was Xi Jinping.

So, why do some people think that the Beijing college entrance examination is unfair? For Guo Jinlong, knowing Yang Rudai and knowing General Secretary Zhao Ziyang through Yang Rudai was his only chance.

But for Liu Shengguo, he had two choices. Of course, in reality, he might not have a choice. But at least on paper he had two choices. Either follow Hu Jintao or follow Xi Jinping.

This is the difference between Beijing officials and officials from other places. For Sichuan official Guo Jinlong, he had very few opportunities. For Beijing official Liu Shengguo, he needed to choose for himself which general secretary to follow.

If you make the wrong choice, you will be arrested. Beijing Vice Mayor Gao Peng made the wrong choice and was arrested. I didn’tI have studied Gao Peng in depth. I don’t know the specific situation.

I don’t know who you would choose for the audience watching this part of the film. In 2012, would you choose to follow Hu Jintao or Xi Jinping? At that time, no one thought that Xi Jinping would be re-elected for life. No one would have thought that after Xi Jinping was re-elected for life, Xi Jinping’s lackeys would be arrested, because Li Xi, the secretary of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection, was a man of Hu Jintao and Wen Jiabao, and Liu Jinguo, the first deputy secretary of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection, was a man of Jiang Zemin and Zhao Leji. Li Xi and Liu Jinguo alone could control more than 80% of the power of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection.

I guess no one would have thought that after the Third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee, Hu Jintao could actually promote officials again. There are two meanings. First, officials from other places have no chance to meet the general secretary. Beijing officials, you have to choose which general secretary you follow. It’s too unfair, isn’t it? The second meaning. Everyone can think about it. If you say Liu Shengguo, how would you choose?

This is a political analysis, which is a bit like fortune-telling. Liu Shengguo should be able to become the deputy mayor of Beijing. Xia Linmao should be a member of the Political Bureau.

Let me show you the ages of the members of the Politburo Standing Committee and the members of the Politburo who served as the deputy secretaries of the provincial party committee, and you will understand. First of all, Xia Linmao was definitely not trained to be the general secretary. Secondly, if Xia Linmao is successfully promoted to the deputy secretary of the Beijing Municipal Party Committee in the next one or two months, he is likely to be a member of the Politburo in the future, but it is hard to say whether he will be a member of the Standing Committee. Li Xi and Cai Qi, who served as deputy secretaries later than Xia Linmao, have both become members of the Standing Committee. It is hard to say, but generally speaking, at the age of 55, if you have served as the deputy secretary of the provincial party committee before, you are more likely to enter the Politburo.

Besides, the situation has changed so much that by then, whether the Communist Party of China is still there or not, it may have fallen. Without political system reform and democratic reform, everything will be in vain and the national destiny cannot be reversed.

We have come to the crossroads of the great era
, and the Chinese economy has been in free fall. Japan has used all kinds of tricks in 30 years, but what is the final effect?

It is nothing more than that if a high-level member of the Communist Party is willing to take the initiative to reform the political system, then China may have a more peaceful transition. If it is unwilling to take the initiative to change, China may have a more loyal transition.

Everyone will witness the arrival of a great era in China, and no one can stop it. If China’s economy fails, social conflicts will eventually erupt.

Okay, thank you everyone.

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